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SYRS News

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

15.27%chance

535367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2355

425

Predictions about Syria in 2026

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

352101

OptionProbability

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

Will Syria be Secular?

28

25

19

18

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

Will Syria federalize before 2030?

Nov 2, 4:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.02%chance

20358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

63

Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?

Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

4192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

When will Ahmed al-Sharaa cease to be president of Syria?

Sep 24, 4:19 PMDec 31, 5:16 PM

3137

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2031-2032

2033-2035

After 2035

2027-2028

2025-2026

21

20

20

20

13

5

Will the next Syrian presidential election be legitimate?

Nov 28, 4:16 PMDec 8, 12:59 AM

70.54%chance

7115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

65

How democratic will Syria be in 2027, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

383

OptionProbability

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

Electoral Democracy

Liberal Democracy

45

31

18

6

What will FCDO travel advice to Syria be at the start of 2029?

Dec 12, 1:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

447

OptionProbability

Advise against all travel

Advise against all travel to parts

Advise against all but essential travel

Advise against all but essential travel to parts

No travel advisory

Other

19

17

17

17

17

11

Will Syrah Vidalia 6-month AAM production exceed 3000 t for the period ending September 2026?

Apr 7, 2:22 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

25

25

25

25

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