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Prediction markets for SYRS

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

15.47%chance

535363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2338

428

Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?

Jan 31, 12:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16.62%chance

251117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

45

Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?

Aug 27, 10:32 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

11.49%chance

18910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

61

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

🇸🇾 Syria signs Abraham Accords by the end of Trump's term?

Jul 3, 7:23 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

20.36%chance

12665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Will Syria federalize before 2030?

Nov 2, 4:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.02%chance

20358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

63

Will the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?

Dec 11, 3:30 PMDec 10, 4:59 AM

63.45%chance

7190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

78

When will Ahmed al-Sharaa cease to be president of Syria?

Sep 24, 4:19 PMDec 31, 5:16 PM

3137

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2031-2032

2033-2035

After 2035

2027-2028

2025-2026

21

20

20

20

13

5

Will alcohol be banned in Syria by the end of 2026?

Jan 20, 1:50 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

39.76%chance

771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

100

Will Turkey annex any portion of Syria by EOY2030? (even by establishing an informal gvmt?)

Dec 9, 10:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.78%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

How democratic will Syria be in 2028, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

250

OptionProbability

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

Liberal Democracy

27

27

27

19

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

25

25

25

25

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