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Prediction markets for SYRS

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

14.92%chance

545400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2388

419

Predictions about Syria in 2026

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

352121

OptionProbability

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

Will Syria be Secular?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

28

25

21

19

Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?

Aug 27, 10:32 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

11.49%chance

18910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

61

In 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?

Dec 12, 2:42 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.46%chance

7753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

758

What will the Economist Democracy Index of Syria be in 2026?

Sep 25, 1:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2623

OptionProbability

1 - 1.99

2 - 2.99

3 - 3.99

0 - 0.99

4 - 5.99

6 - 7.99

8 - 10

22

22

22

15

15

3

2

Will Syria federalize before 2030?

Nov 2, 4:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.02%chance

20358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

63

Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?

Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

4192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

How democratic will Syria be in 2027, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

383

OptionProbability

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

Electoral Democracy

Liberal Democracy

45

31

18

6

Will Turkey annex any portion of Syria by EOY2030? (even by establishing an informal gvmt?)

Dec 9, 10:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.78%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Will Syrah Vidalia 6-month AAM production exceed 5500 t for the period ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 2:23 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Syrah Vidalia 6-month AAM production exceed 3000 t for the period ending June 2026?

Apr 7, 2:22 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

How democratic will Syria be in 2026, according to V-DEM?

Sep 24, 4:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Liberal Democracy

Electoral Democracy

Electoral Autocracy

Closed Autocracy

25

25

25

25

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