TAI News

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.78%chance

940538591

OptionVotes

YES

16043

11887

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.43%chance

538163185

OptionVotes

YES

4115

1886

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

62%chance

28195357

OptionVotes

YES

2727

1089

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.59%chance

234573

OptionVotes

YES

13507

7404

Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

Apr 3, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12525

OptionProbability

Austro-Tai (language family that includes both Austronesian and Kra-Dai languages)

Dene-Yeniseian (language family that includes both Na-Dene and Yeniseian languages)

Italo-Celtic (an IE subfamily that includes both Latin and a Celtic language, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

Je-Tupi-Carib (language family that includes both Je, Tupi and Carib languages)

Pontic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Northwest Caucasian languages)

Paleo-Balkan (an IE subfamily that includes all of: Albanian, Ilyrian, Daco-Thracian, Hellenic, Phrygian. Can also include Armenian, but no languages from other major extant IE families)

Uralo-Siberian (language family that includes Uralic, Yukaghir and Eskaleut)

Altaic (or any other language family containing both Turkic, Tungusic and Mongolic languages)

Indo-Uralic (language family that includes both Indo-European and Uralic languages)

Proto-World (all known languages in the world are proven to belong to the same macrofamily)

Which New Zealand birds will go extinct in the 21st century?

Oct 30, 12:16 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

6398

OptionProbability

Chatham Island tāiko

New Zealand fairy tern/tara iti

Australasian bittern/matuku-hūrepo

Black stilt/kakī

Kermadec white-faced storm petrel

Antipodean wandering albatross/toroa

Chatham Island oystercatcher/tōrea tai

Northern rock wren/pīwauwau

Shore plover/tuturuatu

Whenua Hou diving petrel

Chatham Island black robin

Gibson’s wandering albatross/toroa

Orange-fronted parakeet/kākāriki karaka

Salvin's mollymawk

Kākāpō

Southern New Zealand dotterel/tūturiwhatu

Pacific white tern

White heron/kōtuku

Will TAI (Transformative Artificial Intelligence) be developed first by a company or a government?

Jan 10, 6:38 PMDec 11, 5:59 AM

13318

OptionProbability

Company

Government

Will Tai Lopez (self-help guru and vlogger) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 21, 12:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.62%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

226

194

Will the TAI TF Kaan have entered service in Turkey by the end of 2030?

Jun 14, 7:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

65.09%chance

576

OptionVotes

YES

Will the KMT gain, hold or lose seats in the 2026 City Mayor and County Magistrate elections in Taiwan?

Dec 23, 4:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Gain

Hold

Lose

Will the DPP gain, hold or lose seats in the 2026 City Mayor and County Magistrate elections in Taiwan?

Dec 23, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Gain

Hold

Lose

What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?

Dec 23, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

DPP

KMT

TPP

Independents

Other

TAI News

Prediction markets for TAI

Prediction markets for TAI

Prediction markets for TAI

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Which language families will be widely academically recognized in the field of linguistics, by EOY 2035?

Which New Zealand birds will go extinct in the 21st century?

Will TAI (Transformative Artificial Intelligence) be developed first by a company or a government?

Will Tai Lopez (self-help guru and vlogger) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will the TAI TF Kaan have entered service in Turkey by the end of 2030?

Will the KMT gain, hold or lose seats in the 2026 City Mayor and County Magistrate elections in Taiwan?

Will the DPP gain, hold or lose seats in the 2026 City Mayor and County Magistrate elections in Taiwan?

What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?

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