Tangible News

Post-mortem revelations: will damning new evidence be revealed in the OJ Simpson case?

Apr 11, 3:36 PMApr 11, 6:59 AM

3.8%chance

174480

OptionVotes

YES

5413

450

Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026?

Jul 19, 9:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.82%chance

143205

OptionVotes

YES

4023

249

On what year will Esmeralda have its first 50 non-staff permanent residents?

Oct 19, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72859

OptionProbability

2028

never

2029

2027

2034

2030

2035

2031

2032

2033

2026

2025

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Nov 20, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.01%chance

312800

OptionVotes

YES

1564

639

Will Daryl Morey win an NBA title as a team executive before 2035?

Feb 10, 8:50 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

46.26%chance

9986

OptionVotes

YES

392

200

What is One Piece? (One Piece Manga)

Jan 10, 5:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20749

OptionProbability

Something that's physical and tangible

Joyboy's treasure

Some sort of drink or cup

A way to connect the four seas, putting the ocean in one piece

Ancient Weapons are part of unlocking one piece

Something that would help with dethroning Imu

One piece is at the same location with the Devil Tree

Binks' Sake

something that fulfills the wish of all of Straw Hat Pirates

Something directly related to devil fruit

Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?

Apr 9, 9:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.05%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will I become a Senate Page?

Dec 7, 5:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.85%chance

3555

OptionVotes

YES

673

101

Will we find tangible proof of aliens just being animal human hybrids?

Aug 20, 10:43 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

4.88%chance

11480

OptionVotes

YES

1339

945

Real-world world applications of large cardinals by 2100

Jan 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

110

How might Manifold become “markets for reputation”?

Jan 15, 6:41 PM

Tangible News

Prediction markets for Tangible

Prediction markets for Tangible

Prediction markets for Tangible

Post-mortem revelations: will damning new evidence be revealed in the OJ Simpson case?

Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026?

On what year will Esmeralda have its first 50 non-staff permanent residents?

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will Daryl Morey win an NBA title as a team executive before 2035?

What is One Piece? (One Piece Manga)

Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?

Will I become a Senate Page?

Will we find tangible proof of aliens just being animal human hybrids?

Real-world world applications of large cardinals by 2100

How might Manifold become “markets for reputation”?

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