OptionVotes
YES
NO
18565
6494
1134
954
1997
501
324
31
272
37
789
544
OptionProbability
Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB
Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)
Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment
Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01
Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01
66
52
51
45
38
34
841
579
296
222
100
116
46