Tax Court News

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

15.93%chance

1513700

OptionVotes

YES

21180

5941

Will California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

Oct 6, 6:35 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

2%chance

1811289

OptionVotes

YES

8100

248

Will Colorado Proposition 137 (sporting goods tax for conservation) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

Oct 6, 6:38 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM

97.87%chance

1611026

OptionVotes

YES

8071

333

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.74%chance

125325

OptionVotes

YES

1818

107

Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?

Feb 15, 11:44 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

3%chance

241568

OptionVotes

YES

569

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (1% limit)

Jul 31, 5:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.52%chance

15519

OptionVotes

YES

777

547

2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

Jul 14, 2:29 PMApr 15, 10:59 PM

4251

OptionProbability

Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB

Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)

Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment

Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01

Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2% adjustment cap)

Jul 31, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.56%chance

10214

OptionVotes

YES

841

579

If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass?

Oct 1, 7:06 PMDec 25, 11:59 PM

52.03%chance

5161

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will an income be imputed to my co-parent before end of 2027?

Aug 8, 1:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

1100

909

Will Jim Cramer be convicted of any type of financial crime in relation to Mad Money predictions before 2040?

Apr 29, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.48%chance

446

OptionVotes

YES

116

When will the US enact a universal basic income of at least $500/month per adult?

Sep 30, 12:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

335

OptionProbability

Not by the end of 2050

2041–2050

2037–2040

2033–2036

2026–2028

2029–2032

Tax Court News

Prediction markets for Tax Court

Prediction markets for Tax Court

Prediction markets for Tax Court

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Will California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

Will Colorado Proposition 137 (sporting goods tax for conservation) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (1% limit)

2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2% adjustment cap)

If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass?

Will an income be imputed to my co-parent before end of 2027?

Will Jim Cramer be convicted of any type of financial crime in relation to Mad Money predictions before 2040?

When will the US enact a universal basic income of at least $500/month per adult?

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