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Prediction markets for TD

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

7.67%chance

836529327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

69114

9469

Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?

Feb 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 1:34 PM

102704

OptionProbability

Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.

Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight

It will be stalemate

71

16

13

🏈 Dallas Cowboys (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Apr 15, 3:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

152255

OptionProbability

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

Wins a preseason game

Trey Lance attempts at least 5 passes

Dak Prescott new contract before cowboys season is over

Micah Parsons is traded

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Dak Prescott top 5 in MVP voting

Any player (non-QB) has a 3 TD game

Brandon Aubrey makes a 66+ yard field goal

100

100

100

100

100

34

0

0

0

0

Which player will lead the league in receiving TDs in the 2026 regular season?

Aug 30, 3:34 PMJan 11, 11:59 PM

5583

OptionProbability

Other

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Ja'Marr Chase

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Davante Adams

Puka Nacua

Tee Higgins

Justin Jefferson

CeeDee Lamb

Dallas Goedert

Trey McBride

23

15

14

12

10

7

6

6

6

1

1

Will the player that scores the first TD in the HoF game also score a TD in the regular season?

Aug 6, 5:02 AMJan 10, 11:59 PM

14.79%chance

5294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

42

Will GTA 7 be announced before 2036?

Jul 3, 12:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.68%chance

10110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

64

Will Canadian GDP in 2030 be lower than the combined GDP of Australia and New Zealand?

Mar 14, 3:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

37.26%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Which QB will lead the league in passing TDs in the 2026 regular season?

Aug 30, 3:21 PMJan 10, 11:59 PM

462

OptionProbability

Other

Matthew Stafford

Drake Maye

Joe Burrow

Jared Goff

Dak Prescott

Patrick Mahomes

30

22

11

11

9

9

9

Which player will lead the league in rushing TDs in the 2026 regular season?

Aug 30, 3:29 PMJan 11, 11:59 PM

438

OptionProbability

Other

Jahmyr Gibbs

Jonathan Taylor

Derrick Henry

Josh Allen

James Cook

Christian McCaffrey

28

15

14

14

12

9

8

Will the Kernel Flow 2 be used for a neuroimaging study of sex on psychedelics by EOY2027?

Apr 10, 9:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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