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Top stories

PSG Signs Lucas Chevalier for 40 Million Euros, Wins UEFA Super Cup; Berke Özer Joins Lille, Geubbels Transfer Talks Underway

PSG Signs Lucas Chevalier for 40 Million Euros, Wins UEFA Super Cup; Berke Özer Joins Lille, Geubbels Transfer Talks Underway

Authors

10

5 days ago

Prediction markets for team

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM

37.29%chance

2515523

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

437

Which Team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Dec 5, 9:33 PMJul 6, 3:59 AM

4711767

OptionProbability

Spain

Argentina

France

England

Brazil

Germany

The Netherlands

Portugal

Japan

Italy

Other

Belgium

United States

Croatia

Mexico

Uruguay

Colombia

New Zealand

Australia

Poland

Russia

Sweden

Denmark

Switzerland

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Senegal

Morocco

Serbia

Ecuador

South Korea

Canada

Iran

Peru

Nigeria

Turkey

Norway

15

13

13

10

9

6

6

5

5

4

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will League of Legends team T1 (who won Worlds in 2024) win Worlds in 2025?

Nov 2, 9:56 PMNov 9, 10:59 PM

40%chance

74180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

Will members of the 2024 Chinese Olympic swim team be found to have been doping?

Aug 5, 7:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.46%chance

113661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1213

824

Will Meta AI start an AGI alignment team before 2026?

Feb 13, 6:56 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

45%chance

182182

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

752

Will FIFA announce a new national team competition before 2026?

Dec 12, 7:12 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

17.9%chance

161682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2558

610

Will a televised American Football match between teams of humanoid robots occur before 2035?

Mar 22, 5:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.53%chance

14431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

959

Will the price of Earbuds in Team Fortress 2 be $13.00 or more on Jan 1st 2026 according to Marketplace.tf?

Dec 7, 8:27 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63.76%chance

13396

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

747

Will Salt Lake City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?

Apr 19, 1:29 AMJan 1, 7:01 AM

28.64%chance

19373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

964

Will Wayne Rooney coach another MLS team before 2030?

Nov 16, 6:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.54%chance

16216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

956

Will "UK AISI’s Alignment Team: Research Agenda" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 20, 11:58 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

20

20

20

20

20

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 10, 2025
Aug 10, 2025
Soccer
Sports
PSG Signs Lucas Chevalier for 40 Million Euros, Wins UEFA Super Cup; Berke Özer Joins Lille, Geubbels Transfer Talks Underway
Authors
10
5 days ago

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