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Prediction markets for Team USA

Will the USA men’s soccer team win the World Cup before the year 2071?

Nov 25, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.65%chance

194572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2021

829

West coast best coast (in math olympiads)?

Nov 21, 8:22 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

16.22%chance

353909

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2084

587

Where will I work on 2025-11-01?

Nov 1, 2:20 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

102050

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Other

Google DeepMind

Alphabet but not Google DeepMind

Anthropic

xAI

I will not be employed

The Center for Humane Technology

Protocol Labs

Center for AI Safety

Alignment Research Center

MIRI

Future of Life Institute

Ought

METR

AI Safety Institute

WIkimedia Foundation

Mozilla Foundation

OpenStreetMap Foundation

50

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

Which NFL players will play for the Team USA flag football team at the 2028 LA Summer Olympics?

Aug 21, 2:47 AMAug 15, 3:59 AM

41250

OptionProbability

Patrick Mahomes

Jalen Carter

Saquon Barkley

Caleb Williams

Christian McCaffrey

Marvin Harrison Jr.

Taliese Fuaga

Stefon Diggs

No NFL Players

Travis Kelce

43

43

31

31

31

31

31

31

27

20

How many members of the USA RMM 2026 team will be from Phillips Exeter Academy?

Jul 6, 11:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6538

OptionProbability

2

1

0

3

40

36

14

11

If the US Women were considered a country, will they be in the Top 3 for the gold medal count at the 2028 Olympics?

Aug 11, 5:35 PMAug 19, 6:59 AM

68.84%chance

5500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

673

Will the 2025 MLB World Series winner be from the lower half of team payrolls? (See Description)

Feb 10, 5:06 AMNov 1, 4:59 AM

17.21%chance

4460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

46

Will Darrell “Housh” Doucette play for the USA flag football team at the 2028 LA Summer Olympics?

Aug 21, 2:32 AMAug 15, 3:59 AM

20.37%chance

2197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Which country will win the FIFA Women's World Cup 2027?

Jan 10, 8:14 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

9177

OptionProbability

United States

Spain

England

Other

France

Sweden

Germany

Netherlands

Japan

North Korea

Canada

34

24

7

7

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Will Hersey's revive the Hershey's Gold candy bar by Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 2, 7:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

63.58%chance

12109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

972

Will the United States of America play an official Test cricket match against a country with test status before 2030?

Jan 5, 4:20 PMJan 3, 1:29 PM

60.35%chance

386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

How do I disable Apple News notifications for sports and non-news without disabling notifications for actual news?

Jul 27, 3:35 AMJul 27, 6:59 AM

00

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