Tech Sector News

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.1%chance

273066

OptionVotes

YES

1838

546

Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

82247

OptionProbability

KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC (ban on prediction markets for elections)

Ryan v. FTC (Non-compete ban case)

United States v. Sam Bankman-Fried

Clarke v. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (PredictIt Case)

U.S. and Plaintiff States v. Google LLC (Google antitrust case)

Federal Trade Commission, et al. v. Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon antitrust case)

U.S and Plaintiff States v. Apple Inc. (Apple antitrust case)

United States v. Binance Holdings (charges against Binance for iolating several laws, including the Bank Secrecy Act, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and the Commodity Exchange Act)

Federal Trade Commission v. Microsoft Corp. and Activision Blizzard, Inc (Attempt to block Microsoft's merger/acquisition of Activision Blizzard)

United States v. Meta Platforms, Inc. (Meta antitrust case)

TikTok Inc. v. Merrick Garland (TikTok Ban)

United States v. Skrmetti (ban on transgender health care for minors)

Food and Drug Administration v. Wages and White Lion Investments, LLC (E-cigarette supreme court case)

100

When will Etched.AI launch a transformer chip product?

Dec 20, 7:56 PMDec 2, 3:59 AM

242155

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Not before 2030

Before 2025

Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027?

Mar 18, 4:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.51%chance

16728

OptionVotes

YES

116

Continuing to travel: Where will I end up in one year?

Aug 1, 8:17 PMAug 1, 8:10 PM

7532

OptionProbability

Other

Parents' house (southeast)

South Dakota (domicile)

North Carolina (Raleigh-Durham area)

Seattle

NYC

Which of these OTHER central European cities will I most enjoy?

Sep 11, 9:00 PMOct 11, 8:59 PM

4214

OptionProbability

Munich (3 nights)

Zurich (3 nights)

Strasbourg (2 nights)

Berlin (6 nights)

Brussels (4 nights)

Now Google buys Dave & Buster’s in 2036

Feb 10, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.23%chance

2160

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

Mar 22, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

5138

OptionVotes

YES

188

US tech employment drops 10% from 2025 value in which year?

May 19, 3:47 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

2105

OptionProbability

2026-2030

2031-2035

2036-2040

2041-2045

2046-2050

After 2050

In what year will India's GDP PPP reach that of the United States?

Jun 9, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

471

OptionProbability

2040-2044

2035-2039

2045-2049

2050-2054

2055-2060

2030-2034

Will there be >250k tech layoffs in 2027 according to Layoffs.fyi?

Sep 9, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.93%chance

357

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% or more below its all-time high by April 2, 2027? (4/2/27)

Aug 5, 3:03 PMApr 1, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Tech Sector News

Prediction markets for Tech Sector

Prediction markets for Tech Sector

Prediction markets for Tech Sector

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

When will Etched.AI launch a transformer chip product?

Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027?

Continuing to travel: Where will I end up in one year?

Which of these OTHER central European cities will I most enjoy?

Now Google buys Dave & Buster’s in 2036

Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

US tech employment drops 10% from 2025 value in which year?

In what year will India's GDP PPP reach that of the United States?

Will there be >250k tech layoffs in 2027 according to Layoffs.fyi?

Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% or more below its all-time high by April 2, 2027? (4/2/27)

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