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TechCrunch News
Prediction markets for TechCrunch
Prediction markets for TechCrunch
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
Mar 2, 8:16 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
46.34%
chance
46
7801
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1213
226
Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Jan 8, 7:39 PM
Jan 21, 7:59 AM
7.9%
chance
18
3860
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3414
293
By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?
Jun 16, 8:47 PM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
11.4%
chance
18
1414
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1241
941
Will a neurotech company face a lawsuit over unauthorized brain data collection in 2025?
Mar 8, 11:58 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
16.58%
chance
9
1361
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2243
446
Will a major tech company (Apple, Google, Microsoft, or Meta) acquire a neurotech startup in 2025?
Mar 8, 11:53 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
54.99%
chance
15
845
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1105
905
Is Anthropic's "Confidential Investor" Elon Musk?
Apr 11, 2:03 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
10.36%
chance
16
841
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1195
909
Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Jan 8, 7:34 PM
Jan 21, 7:59 AM
34%
chance
11
621
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1393
718
What will be the parameter count (in trillions) of the largest neural network by the end of 2030?
May 26, 10:06 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
5
426
Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Jan 8, 2:50 PM
Jan 21, 7:59 AM
56.57%
chance
4
317
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1141
876
At least 3 African fintech startups will secure funding rounds of $50M+ before September 2025
Apr 1, 1:37 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
44.25%
chance
4
22
Option
Votes
YES
NO
112
89
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