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Top stories

Fired DOJ Antitrust Deputy Claims Lobbyists Skewed HPE-Juniper Merger Review

Fired DOJ Antitrust Deputy Claims Lobbyists Skewed HPE-Juniper Merger Review

Authors

12

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Technology Policy Institute

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

10544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

784

Federal Reserve announces wholesale CBDC pilot before 2028?

Jun 10, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

33

17

17

17

17

Will https://pcb.mit.edu/lectures/slides/IAP2026PCBClassLecture05.pdf still be up in 2032?

Mar 17, 5:42 AM

30

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