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Prediction markets for Technology
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
68.41%chance
18391646
OptionVotes
1713
308
OptionVotes
1539
1185
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.32%chance
8921183
OptionVotes
13505
8680
Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?
Jan 21, 2:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
61.28%chance
9515065
OptionVotes
1619
500
Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?
Nov 20, 3:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
37.05%chance
9412437
OptionVotes
1817
544
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
27%chance
1459501
OptionVotes
3594
1876
If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin?
Sep 22, 5:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
13.02%chance
318436
OptionVotes
1072
965
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.58%chance
233790
OptionVotes
1073
935
Will the US government take control of Anthropic or its major technologies before 2030?
Jun 12, 7:30 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
24.86%chance
212211
OptionVotes
1739
575
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
29.32%chance
12941
OptionVotes
1553
644
By 2045, will it be possible to experience collective consciousness through shared cognitive technology?
Feb 18, 12:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
30.85%chance
26447
OptionVotes
1006
987
If intelligent aliens visit us, will AI-based technologies outperform analog linguistics in translating their language?
Mar 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
69.65%chance
13186
OptionVotes
1037
977


