OptionProbability
Suella Braverman
Robert Jenrick
At least five MPs elected as Conservatives in 2024
Jacob Rees-Mogg
Liz Truss
At least one MP elected as Labour in 2024
Katie Lam
Priti Patel
Dan Carden
100
66
39
36
29
20
13
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2161
463
