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Top stories

Tyler, the Creator Unveils Camp Flog Gnaw 2025 Lineup via Puzzle

Tyler, the Creator Unveils Camp Flog Gnaw 2025 Lineup via Puzzle

Authors

3

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Tems

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.41%chance

8651855680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

48027

8571

Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?

Jul 26, 2:17 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

1.05%chance

144115514

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50587

234

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?

Feb 24, 9:01 AMJan 2, 12:40 AM

1.19%chance

4273675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5203

848

Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?

Jan 11, 6:33 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

1.18%chance

16653252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9540

126

Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade

Apr 5, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.62%chance

13623838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1928

769

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

May 30, 1:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

27.82%chance

3118945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14347

7601

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?

Feb 23, 12:18 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

42.11%chance

3112543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

895

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?

Feb 10, 1:25 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

31.06%chance

296848

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

776

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?

Feb 17, 2:23 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

36.27%chance

333281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1125

657

Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?

Feb 11, 4:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

36.09%chance

241606

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

859

Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?

Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.9%chance

8149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

1092

My temporary retirement (coinflip market)

Nov 19, 2:08 AMJan 2, 2:03 AM

50%chance

552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1210

1210

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