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Prediction markets for Tems
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.55%chance
8891900029
OptionVotes
25721
10481
Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade
Apr 5, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.62%chance
13623838
OptionVotes
1928
769
Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?
May 30, 1:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
26.61%chance
3519502
OptionVotes
14866
7407
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
Jan 5, 5:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
18.98%chance
6014365
OptionVotes
999
863
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
Feb 23, 12:18 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
37.83%chance
3413116
OptionVotes
1000
995
[ACX 2026] What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?
Jan 7, 12:00 AMJan 7, 7:59 AM
1412658
OptionProbability
52
28
12
2
2
1
1
1
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
Feb 10, 1:25 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
35.11%chance
317123
OptionVotes
1121
676
Will the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
Oct 16, 12:16 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM
89.83%chance
296621
OptionVotes
1720
850
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
Feb 17, 2:23 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
36.85%chance
363777
OptionVotes
1133
645
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?
Feb 7, 10:31 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
34.48%chance
352590
OptionVotes
1119
704
Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?
Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.49%chance
10163
OptionVotes
1218
1095
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25