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Prediction markets for TEN

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

9.3%chance

11643385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31251

3205

Will Armand (Mondo) Duplantis run the 100m under ten seconds?

Sep 5, 4:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.02%chance

223416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2124

100

Will AI innovations in computer hacking, financial crime, and fraud cost the world more than ten billion dollars by 2030?

Dec 24, 8:47 PMJan 1, 7:58 AM

73.84%chance

151472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1936

988

Will epigenetic reprogramming-related pathways rank among the top ten pathways that improve neural graft survival?

Nov 24, 5:06 AMMar 24, 4:05 AM

79.8%chance

111395

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1987

503

Will labour keep their majority for over ten years?

Jul 4, 11:25 PMJul 5, 8:59 PM

30.59%chance

13831

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1506

664

By 2030, will a videogame that uses generative AI to create content make Steam's top ten games by user count?

Feb 17, 1:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.63%chance

14509

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1327

866

Ten years after Trump’s departure from politics, will he see a George Bush style approval ratings bump?

Apr 21, 2:35 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

23.77%chance

16485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

914

Will Tetraspace have a car in the next ten years?

Jun 23, 2:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.28%chance

5379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

821

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Jun 23, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.8%chance

20362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

880

Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Jun 23, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68%chance

11221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

972

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Jun 23, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.95%chance

10134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

953

Will a major US newspaper with at least 150 years of history partner with a top LLM (top ten by usage) by mid '29

Mar 7, 10:25 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

56%chance

3128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

886

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