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Prediction markets for Term Finance

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

Jan 13, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61628

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

Alphabet

Apple

Microsoft

Amazon

Broadcom

Tesla

93

87

86

84

75

13

11

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Mar 15, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.41%chance

421464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2377

1951

Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?

Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.49%chance

61314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

814

Outcome of Operation Epic Fury (Iran 2026):

Mar 12, 3:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

111094

OptionProbability

Unyielding Islamic Regime

Deal with minimal concessions

Balkanization/long civil war

Deal with major concessions

Military coup (Artesh)

Popular takeover

Venezuela-style puppet state

Voluntary transition of power

38

28

11

8

7

5

2

2

Google, Amazon, Meta & Microsoft Total Capex for 2027

Feb 7, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61021

OptionProbability

800 Billion +

600-800 Billion

400-599 Billion

>400 Billion

48

37

8

7

Will Anthropic’s private valuation exceed 50% of OpenAI’s in their next funding rounds?

Feb 8, 4:07 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

70.05%chance

191020

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will 50-year mortgages be offered by 2029?

Nov 11, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.29%chance

8846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1766

566

Will my personal financial situation be better at the end of Milei's first term?

Dec 30, 1:59 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM

68.53%chance

14546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

961

Will I beat Emily in the 2023-2028 BMI War?

Apr 23, 9:44 PMApr 24, 6:59 AM

74.95%chance

6186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

191

59

Will MBG get defunded before 2027?

Mar 12, 5:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.86%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

In the context of financial world, is “pundit” a term of

Jun 13, 8:00 AM

50

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