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Prediction markets for Terraform

By 2030, will AI have wiped off the whole world's trout population?

Jul 4, 6:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.39%chance

344861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1576

925

What are some of the best educational games?

Sep 8, 3:43 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

351553

OptionProbability

Europa Universalis IV

Turing Complete

Other

Sine Rider

Factorio

Democracy 3

Civilization VI

Terraforming Mars

Poly Bridge

Epistory

Duo Lingo

Pharaoh

SHENZHEN I/O

The Forgotten City

ANTE

Silicon Zeroes

Victoria II

Magic the Gathering

Zendo

Jahooma's logic box

Murder, she bet

Captain of Industry

Hackmud

Cool Math Games

Plague Inc: Evolved

Age of Empires II

Airport CEO

Kerbal Space Program

Chess

Cellcraft

Imperivm: Great Battles of Rome

Untrusted

Cinco Paus

We Become What We Behold

http://robozzle.com/

https://logicbox.jahooma.com/

https://lab.quantumflytrap.com/

https://www.decisionproblem.com/paperclips/index2.html

The Battle of Polytopia

29

18

18

11

9

4

3

3

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

How many traders will this market get before next nuclear explosion?

Aug 15, 4:13 PMAug 22, 9:59 PM

91037

OptionProbability

[20,40)

[40,80)

[80,160)

[160,320)

[320,640)

640 or more

[10,20)

[0,10)

15

15

15

15

15

13

10

3

Venus will be successfully terraformed before Mars?

Jun 7, 4:32 AMJun 14, 5:59 AM

6.64%chance

14501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

375

27

Will humanity get its hydrocarbon energy via solar-powered hydrocarbon synthesis in the next 20 years (ie by 2035)

Mar 24, 10:42 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

32.16%chance

12430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

159

Will any astronomical body in the solar system be terraformed before the first permanent settlement?

Feb 7, 10:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.4%chance

11208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

174

Will the Australian outback be ‘greened’ / terraformed / geo-engineered before 2100?

Sep 11, 12:17 AMJan 10, 12:59 PM

86.74%chance

4162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

31

What will be the top rated game on BoardGameGeek at the end of 2025?

Apr 30, 8:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7152

OptionProbability

Other

Brass: Birmingham

Pandemic Legacy: Season 1

Terraforming Mars

Ark Nova

Dune: Imperium

Twilight Imperium 4th Ed

38

37

6

6

4

4

4

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