OptionProbability
Released before November
Will have at least 300.000 articles
Will call "Clinton body count" a conspiracy theory
There will be obvious falsehoods
Negative about woke stuff
It will say something negative about Elon Musk
Right wing leaning
Manifold poll will say it's right wing
It will link to Wikipedia as a source for something other than information about Wikipedia itself
It will be positively biased with respect to Elon Musk
It will have a higher corpus sparsity index
It will exceed expectations
It will classify being transgender as mental health disorder
Someone will sue xAI/X for defamation because of the contents of an article
Will state the word "cis" is a slur
Will have an article listing Tesla Autopilot crashes
Will explicitly state that Israel is committing / has committed a genocide in Gaza
Manifold poll will say it's as good as Wikipedia
Will say that trans women are women
Will have an article about Vivian Wilson
Some new sufficiently interesting discovered truth (eg. "why do humans enjoy music")
Manifold poll will say it's a lot better than Wikipedia
Have a page on "Rationalussy"
Released on a Friday
100
99
97
94
89
87
85
78
74
66
57
51
32
28
23
13
9
7
6
3
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
6320
474
Tesla
Waymo
34
217
148
