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Prediction markets for Tesla Inc

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.71%chance

11734180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

959

Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026?

Mar 28, 10:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.3%chance

224104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3867

260

tesla robot will 'Walk' on the moon in 2028

Apr 1, 4:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.93%chance

152030

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

53

How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?

Dec 24, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

361766

OptionProbability

40k - 100k

25k - 40k

>100k

<=25k

54

27

16

3

Will Tesla increase deliveries in 2026?

Jan 4, 10:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.1%chance

161178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1302

768

Will SpaceX combine with Tesla in 2026?

Jan 15, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.2%chance

11231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

70

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Apr 6, 1:18 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

6160

OptionProbability

NO

YES

113

72

Tesla reaches $400 before $300?

Apr 25, 10:56 PMApr 25, 10:55 PM

71%chance

9150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

Will Tesla increase fsd subscription price by eoy 2027?

Jan 25, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.29%chance

3125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

202

50

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