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Prediction markets for Tesla Inc

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.72%chance

12739785

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1258

806

Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026?

Mar 28, 10:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.51%chance

234885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3094

325

tesla robot will 'Walk' on the moon in 2028

Apr 1, 4:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

162069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?

Dec 24, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

361766

OptionProbability

40k - 100k

25k - 40k

>100k

<=25k

54

27

16

3

Will Tesla increase deliveries in 2026?

Jan 4, 10:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.36%chance

171228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1352

740

Will SpaceX combine with Tesla in 2026?

Jan 15, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.97%chance

15447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

90

SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028

May 28, 12:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.77%chance

19446

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Apr 6, 1:18 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

7170

OptionProbability

NO

YES

123

67

Will Tesla increase fsd subscription price by eoy 2027?

Jan 25, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.29%chance

3125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

202

50

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