Tesla Robotaxi News

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

140175462

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

2024

2025

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

15.68%chance

24770128

OptionVotes

YES

1877

733

Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket

Apr 13, 8:46 PMApr 19, 5:59 AM

3818556

OptionProbability

Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026

Will I still have grok in my car, through mid 2026

Will I will be able to get my Tesla model Y 2023 to automatically back out of my driveway to the side of the road by mid 2026 (without me in it)

Will I be able to drop my car at the entrance to a garage and have it park by mid 2026 (possibly out of sight lines) (without me in it)

I'll see an Optimus or other Tesla robot in San Mateo CA in public not at the dealership by mid 2028

US Customer takes delivery of Cybercab with no steering wheel by end of 2026

Will I be able to use a non xAi model in the car, via same mechanism as grok, by mid 2026

Will there be any conditions where I'm able to sleep in my 2023 Model Y (FSD currently 14.2.1) while it drives, on a public road by mid 2026?

Max configurable speed for self driving will be above 85 by mid 2025

Tesla robotaxi rideable in SF by the public by mid 2025

I'll be able to call a Waymo to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025

I'll be able to call a fsd Tesla vehicle to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025

100

Will most Tesla-owned robotaxis use Lidar, at launch?

Jun 22, 3:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.41%chance

288478

OptionVotes

YES

6363

157

Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]

Jan 20, 11:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.42%chance

136299

OptionVotes

YES

5820

309

Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Jan 15, 8:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7.03%chance

455134

OptionVotes

YES

1932

876

Tesla delivers Robotaxi before 2027 and MKBHD shaves head?

Jun 28, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.71%chance

163083

OptionVotes

YES

2888

346

Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?

Nov 11, 12:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.21%chance

343011

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

Jun 23, 5:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

232027

OptionProbability

Tesla Robotaxi Dies

Waymo Dies

Uber Dies

Will Tesla have a operational Robotaxi that they are announcing on 8/8 operation in the US, by the end of 2026?

May 13, 12:28 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

90%chance

151737

OptionVotes

YES

300

In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?

Aug 12, 4:30 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

261327

OptionProbability

2027

2028

Later

2029

2026

2024

2025

Tesla robotaxi on fire by end of 2026?

Jun 17, 1:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.67%chance

19634

OptionVotes

YES

216

Tesla Robotaxi News

Prediction markets for Tesla Robotaxi

Prediction markets for Tesla Robotaxi

Prediction markets for Tesla Robotaxi

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket

Will most Tesla-owned robotaxis use Lidar, at launch?

Will Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]

Will Tesla be the first to provide robotaxis in New York City?

Tesla delivers Robotaxi before 2027 and MKBHD shaves head?

Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

Will Tesla have a operational Robotaxi that they are announcing on 8/8 operation in the US, by the end of 2026?

In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?

Tesla robotaxi on fire by end of 2026?

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