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Top stories

Texas Republicans Fail to Approve Trump-Backed Congressional Maps as Democrats Block Redistricting, Flood Relief Ahead of 2026 Midterms

Authors

6

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Texas Democratic

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

43%chance

238161617

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1574

1478

If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?

Dec 9, 1:41 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

233828

OptionProbability

James Talarico

Colin Allred

Jasmine Crockett

43

22

16

What will be the next year Texas votes for a Democratic presidential candidate?

Nov 17, 2:06 AMDec 15, 5:59 AM

14987

OptionProbability

2036

2032

2028

2040

Other

2044

2024

25

23

16

14

11

9

1

Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2028 presidential election?

Jul 25, 12:20 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.44%chance

17912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1882

1338

Will a Democratic presidential candidate win Texas before 2033?

Apr 27, 8:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41%chance

19740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1315

687

Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?

Jan 24, 6:16 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

58.37%chance

16599

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

102

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

20558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will a Democrat win Texas for President by 2050?

Apr 20, 2:22 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

77.81%chance

18473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1276

897

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi)

Jun 8, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.97%chance

280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

981

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2032?

Oct 23, 12:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

51%chance

861

OptionVotes

NO

YES

98

81

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2038?

Oct 23, 12:14 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

69.11%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

68

Will Democrats win the Texas Commissioner of Agriculture Election?

Jun 8, 3:50 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

36.62%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

955

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