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Prediction markets for Texas House

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84.47%chance

288564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2332

429

When will Texas "Turn Purple"

Sep 27, 3:49 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

474316

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2045-2049

2050 or later

Before 2025

60

26

10

2

2

1

How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?

Jul 25, 2:50 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

103911

OptionProbability

29-30

28

27

25

26

24

19-21

22

23

31-33

0-8

9-13

14-18

34-38

24

18

17

12

11

4

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?

Mar 18, 2:19 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

52321

OptionProbability

Texas 34th district

Texas 28th district

Texas 15th District

Texas 35th district

Texas 23rd district

Texas 9th district

Texas 17th district

Texas 5th District

Texas 2nd District

Texas 12th District

Texas 1st District

86

78

57

44

34

28

17

15

14

13

6

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1378

717

How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will Texas lose/gain after the next U.S. census?

Feb 28, 6:18 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM

71455

OptionProbability

Gain more than 2

Gain 2

Gain 1

No Change

Lose more than 1

Lose 1

59

24

8

4

3

2

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.01%chance

91127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

571

Who will controls the house of representatives after 2026 midterms

Jan 5, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18663

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

89

10

1

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

8602

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

89

11

Will we find out what’s on Trump’s neck?

Mar 2, 7:42 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

15.78%chance

16581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

231

43

Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?

Aug 14, 1:20 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

88.72%chance

10464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

619

70

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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