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Top stories

California Gov. Gavin Newsom Threatens Texas Republicans, Accuses GOP of 'Radical Rigging' Over New Congressional Map

US Domestic Policy

California Gov. Gavin Newsom Threatens Texas Republicans, Accuses GOP of 'Radical Rigging' Over New Congressional Map

Authors

16

10 months ago

63% Democrats Oppose Gerrymandering; Back California’s Redistricting Response as Texas Advances Maps; Iowa Eyes Rogue 2028 Caucuses

63% Democrats Oppose Gerrymandering; Back California’s Redistricting Response as Texas Advances Maps; Iowa Eyes Rogue 2028 Caucuses

Authors

17

10 months ago

Rep. Lloyd Doggett Ends 30-Year House Career After Texas Redistricting Amid Court Review, Clearing Way for Rep. Greg Casar; GOP's Briscoe Cain Runs

Rep. Lloyd Doggett Ends 30-Year House Career After Texas Redistricting Amid Court Review, Clearing Way for Rep. Greg Casar; GOP's Briscoe Cain Runs

Authors

8

10 months ago

Texas Republicans Fail to Approve Trump-Backed Congressional Maps as Democrats Block Redistricting, Flood Relief Ahead of 2026 Midterms

Authors

6

10 months ago

Gavin Newsom Criticizes ICE Arrests of Tren de Aragua Gang Member Near Redistricting Announcement, Targets Trump and Tom Homan

Authors

23

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Texas Republicans

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

41.68%chance

238161582

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1540

1525

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84%chance

2914019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2291

436

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:48 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

87%chance

286253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

254

63

How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?

Jul 25, 2:50 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

104513

OptionProbability

25

29-30

26

28

27

24

9-13

14-18

19-21

22

0-8

23

31-33

34-38

17

17

15

14

13

5

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Dec 8, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

183516

OptionProbability

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

87

83

61

57

Who will be elected Texas Attorney General in 2026?

Mar 16, 2:36 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

101551

OptionProbability

Mayes Middleton

Nathan Johnson

Other

Chip Roy

Joe Jaworski

89

7

2

1

1

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

101506

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

82

18

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

11920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

961

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.48%chance

20558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

845

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

Feb 27, 8:35 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

47.2%chance

9554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

113

Will Trump/Vance give Ken Paxton a position/title in the federal govt?

Mar 4, 8:03 PMJan 20, 12:00 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Under 55! U.S. Rep. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.

Jun 1, 12:42 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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