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Prediction markets for Texas Senate

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

38.67%chance

202145025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10394

10044

Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?

Nov 27, 4:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7143925

OptionProbability

Republican party

Democratic party

Other

60

40

0

Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?

Feb 1, 2:51 AMNov 3, 11:59 AM

115711

OptionProbability

Non-Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

Non-Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

53

31

8

7

If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Feb 3, 4:02 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

40.57%chance

392334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

83

If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?

Dec 9, 1:41 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

171206

OptionProbability

James Talarico

Colin Allred

Jasmine Crockett

40

22

16

Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?

Mar 5, 7:59 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

60.7%chance

151113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1243

805

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.29%chance

11861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1222

951

Who will be favourite on election day to win the Texas senate election?

Feb 22, 7:09 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

7597

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

59

41

Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?

Jan 24, 6:16 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

40.2%chance

11398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

93

If James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?

Mar 22, 6:23 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

5169

OptionProbability

If Talarico wins, will democrats win another statewide office in Texas? (N/a if Talarico loses)

If Talarico loses, Will democrats win a statewide office in texas? (N/a if Talarico wins)

62

51

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2038?

Oct 23, 12:14 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

69.11%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

68

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2036?

Oct 23, 12:14 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

57.9%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

79

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