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Prediction markets for Texas Senate

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

33.22%chance

7646193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

904

Who Will win the 2026 Texas Senate Seat Democratic Primary?

Sep 29, 6:41 AMMay 26, 12:59 AM

7334026

OptionProbability

James Talarico

Jasmine Crockett

Colin Allred

Other

83

17

0

0

Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?

Nov 17, 9:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5319559

OptionProbability

James Talarico

John Cornyn

Ken Paxton

Jasmine Crockett

Wesley Hunt

Other

Collin Allred

30

29

29

9

2

2

0

Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?

Nov 27, 4:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3213337

OptionProbability

Republican party

Democratic party

Other

66

34

0

Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary Election for US Senate in Texas?

Nov 10, 12:49 AMNov 11, 5:59 AM

161474

OptionProbability

Ken Paxton

John Cornyn

Wesley Hunt

Other

Ronny Jackson

Eric Johnson

Chip Roy

Dan Patrick

Louie Gohmert

Allen West

Dan Crenshaw

61

32

6

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a runoff be needed in the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary?

Jan 21, 6:22 AMMar 4, 5:22 AM

51100

OptionProbability

No, Talarico wins first round. (50.00%+)

No, Crockett wins first round. (50.00%+)

Yes, a runoff is needed.

82

16

3

If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?

Dec 9, 1:41 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

12454

OptionProbability

James Talarico

Colin Allred

Jasmine Crockett

45

22

16

Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?

Jan 24, 6:16 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

39.78%chance

7324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

92

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?

Oct 23, 12:08 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

36.41%chance

12212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

80

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.91%chance

260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

833

If James Talarico wins the Texas senate primary, will he become Senator in 2026?

Feb 3, 4:02 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

36.91%chance

333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

76

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2036?

Oct 23, 12:14 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

57.9%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

79

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