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Prediction markets for Texas Senate

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

58.71%chance

326210587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12524

8004

Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?

Nov 27, 4:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18495367

OptionProbability

James Talarico (D)

Ken Paxton (R)

Other

61

39

0

Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?

Feb 1, 2:51 AMNov 3, 11:59 AM

158521

OptionProbability

Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Non-Dem Senator, < 14 Dem Reps

Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

Non-Dem Senator, >= 14 Dem Reps

40

38

12

9

Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?

Mar 5, 7:59 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

84.65%chance

384935

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2348

426

If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Feb 3, 4:02 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

56.36%chance

514184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Democrats win Texas, Michigan, Alaska and Maine for Senate in 2026?

Aug 7, 9:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.18%chance

222073

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

880

Will the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 1% or more of the vote?

Sep 12, 8:12 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

75.22%chance

21087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1742

574

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.86%chance

13931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

959

Will James Talarico win Starr County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?

Sep 7, 6:00 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

63.78%chance

4681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

848

Will my Democrats win Texas Senate election? Market have 350 traders before 7pm est election day 2026?

Sep 7, 8:11 AMNov 3, 6:59 PM

71%chance

3670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1565

639

Will the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 2% or more of the vote?

Sep 12, 8:28 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

47.87%chance

6351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

938

Will any candidate get 50.000% or more of the vote in the 2026 Senate election In Texas?

Sep 12, 8:35 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

57.66%chance

4285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1167

857

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