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Prediction markets for Texas Senate

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

41.86%chance

240161783

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1544

1518

Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?

Nov 17, 9:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15776717

OptionProbability

Ken Paxton

James Talarico

John Cornyn

Wesley Hunt

Collin Allred

Jasmine Crockett

Other

56

44

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win in the Texas Senate Race?

Nov 19, 10:16 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

227702

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

58

42

If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?

Dec 9, 1:41 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

233828

OptionProbability

James Talarico

Colin Allred

Jasmine Crockett

43

22

16

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Dec 8, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

183516

OptionProbability

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

87

83

61

57

If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Feb 3, 4:02 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

42.82%chance

453184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

87

Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?

Mar 5, 7:59 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

62.57%chance

161163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1293

773

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

11920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

961

Who will be favourite on election day to win the Texas senate election?

Feb 22, 7:09 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13739

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

61

39

If James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?

Mar 22, 6:23 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

6179

OptionProbability

If Talarico wins, will democrats win another statewide office in Texas? (N/a if Talarico loses)

If Talarico loses, Will democrats win a statewide office in texas? (N/a if Talarico wins)

62

47

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2038?

Oct 23, 12:14 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

69.11%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

68

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2036?

Oct 23, 12:14 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

57.9%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

79

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