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Texas Supreme Court News

What will happen to Robert Roberson, currently sentenced to death for a "shaken baby syndrome" murder?

Mar 5, 5:16 AMMar 12, 3:59 PM

74814

OptionProbability

Execution date set

Scheduled execution stayed / postponed

Execution date set (post-October 2025)

Executed

Commuted to life / other clemency beyond stay of execution

Executed in 2026

Conviction removed (vacated, pardon, actual innocence, or otherwise)

Released from prison

Executed in 2025

Dies while on death row (not executed)

100

100

57

50

18

16

8

5

5

5

How Many Statewide Offices Will Democrats win in Texas in 2026?

Mar 22, 12:05 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

211818

OptionProbability

1 or more

2 or more

3 or more

0

4 or more

5 or more

6 or more

7 or more

8 or more

9 or more

10 or more

11 or more

12 or more

13 or more

14 or more

15 (Democratic Sweep)

64

62

45

38

30

25

16

6

5

5

4

4

4

3

3

2

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.47%chance

121704

OptionVotes

NO

YES

944

676

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.82%chance

361358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

790

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi)

Jun 8, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.95%chance

171340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

785

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.86%chance

13931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

959

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.94%chance

22870

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

893

Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035?

Sep 7, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.97%chance

12622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

397

25

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant cert or agree to hear arguments in the Texas DACA case by February 27, 2027? (2/27/27)

Aug 31, 2:39 PMFeb 26, 11:59 PM

12.03%chance

3284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

66

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi)

Aug 12, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61%chance

425

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

91

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