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Prediction markets for The Academy

Which film will win the Best Animated Feature Film Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 7, 11:22 AMMar 17, 11:59 PM

249029

OptionProbability

KPop Demon Hunters

Zootopia 2

Colorful Stage! The Movie: A Miku Who Can't Sing

Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle

Elio

Scarlet

Arco

Other

The Bad Guys 2

Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc

The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants

87

7

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Which movie will win the Oscar for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Mar 6, 3:28 AMMar 5, 4:59 AM

347927

OptionProbability

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Other

K-Pop Demon Hunters

Dune 2

The Substance

zootopia 2

Jurassic world rebirth

Frankenstein

Avatar 3

Highest 2 Lowest

A Big Bold Beautiful Journey

Wicked: For Good

Sentimental Value

It was just an accident

Weapons

70

18

6

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 7, 11:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81706

OptionProbability

Timothée Chalamet

Leonardo DiCaprio

Michael B. Jordan

Wagner Moura

Ethan Hawke

Jeremy Allen White

Dwayne Johnson

Jesse Plemons

Joel Edgerton

Paul Mescal

Brad Pitt

Vahid Mobasseri

George Clooney

Colin Farrell

Sergi Lopez

Lee Byung-hun

Oscar Issac

Other

72

11

7

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Which film will win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 6, 1:01 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

111349

OptionProbability

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

The Secret Agent

Train Dreams

Frankenstein

It Was Just an Accident

Wicked: For Good

Avatar: Fire and Ash

F1

Bugonia

No Other Choice

Jay Kelly

Weapons

The Testament of Ann Lee

Other

71

17

4

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

51.97%chance

24705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1140

803

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.35%chance

22616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

808

Which films will win an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jul 3, 3:44 PMJul 10, 8:59 PM

6471

OptionProbability

Mickey 17

3

What will be true about the next Oscars Academy Award Best Actor winner in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 3, 4:18 AMMar 9, 3:59 AM

6418

OptionProbability

Recording exists of them saying "fuck"

Has Tattoo

Photo exists on internet of them wearing suspenders/overalls

photo of them in suspenders/overalls on the internet

Had At least one sex scandal

Has Brown Eyes

Is 6'0" or taller (183cm)

at least one divorce at time of announcement

Currently Married

Is Bald

60 or older at time of announcement

Is Indian

at least one arrest

79

76

66

59

50

50

34

34

13

10

10

4

4

Will Starfleet Academy end the season with higher than a 5.0 on IMDB?

Jan 24, 6:44 AMMar 10, 10:59 PM

41.81%chance

9379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1180

848

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.25%chance

7105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

245

109

Will the 2026 Academy Award for Best Picture go to a film produced by any of Netflix, Amazon, or Apple?

Jan 12, 12:32 AMMar 17, 11:59 PM

33.27%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

342

271

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

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