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Prediction markets for The Academy

Which films will win an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jul 3, 3:44 PMJul 10, 8:59 PM

7897

OptionProbability

Mickey 17

1

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

51.97%chance

24705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1140

803

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.35%chance

22616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

808

Who will manufacture the lander for the next manned moon landing?

Apr 6, 1:27 AMJan 1, 2:26 AM

16585

OptionProbability

China Academy of Space Technology

Blue Origin

SpaceX

Other

49

31

18

2

Will I reach 1,175,000 Energy Points on Khan Academy by the end of May?

Mar 8, 5:10 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

26.52%chance

8521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1445

782

Will "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award

Mar 27, 6:17 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM

41.57%chance

7506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

843

Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?

May 5, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.9%chance

7417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

431

23

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.15%chance

10280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

71

Will students be able to enroll in Trump's "American Academy" by the end of his mandate?

Nov 20, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.97%chance

3210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

116

Will Conan O’Brien host the Academy Awards (Oscars) for a third consecutive year (2027)?

Mar 15, 6:55 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

66.94%chance

7196

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?

May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.91%chance

4189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

35

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

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