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The Academy News
Prediction markets for The Academy
Prediction markets for The Academy
Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)
Dec 13, 5:48 AM
Apr 2, 3:59 AM
33.6%
chance
25
1137
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1538
507
Will Conan O’Brien host the Academy Awards (Oscars) for a third consecutive year (2027)?
Mar 15, 6:55 PM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
97.56%
chance
9
741
Option
Votes
NO
YES
633
16
Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?
Mar 25, 9:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
51.26%
chance
23
618
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1162
810
Will "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award
Mar 27, 6:17 AM
Mar 21, 11:59 PM
41.57%
chance
7
506
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1186
843
Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?
May 5, 4:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
94.9%
chance
7
417
Option
Votes
NO
YES
431
23
Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?
Jan 21, 4:53 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.15%
chance
10
280
Option
Votes
YES
NO
217
71
Will students be able to enroll in Trump's "American Academy" by the end of his mandate?
Nov 20, 4:46 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
19.97%
chance
3
210
Option
Votes
YES
NO
260
116
Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?
May 3, 4:07 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10.91%
chance
4
189
Option
Votes
YES
NO
286
35
Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards?
Aug 8, 7:46 AM
Mar 14, 2:00 AM
39.36%
chance
8
79
Option
Votes
YES
NO
124
81
Will a movie win the 'best musical' academy award before the end of May 2033?
Jun 26, 8:38 PM
May 31, 11:59 PM
39.85%
chance
7
49
Option
Votes
YES
NO
123
81
Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?
Apr 20, 10:44 PM
Nov 1, 8:01 AM
32.43%
chance
3
29
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
95
Will a movie win the 'best musical' academy award before the end of May 2030?
Jun 26, 8:38 PM
May 31, 11:59 PM
39.66%
chance
4
26
Option
Votes
YES
NO
123
81
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