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Prediction markets for The Academy

Which California Colleges/Universities will close before 2027?

May 10, 5:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41467

OptionProbability

California College of ASU

Woodbury University

Notre Dame de Namur University

San Diego Christian College

Academy of Art University

Sofia University

Humphreys University

Fresno Pacific University

Pathways College

Menlo College

100

100

74

55

50

41

38

37

35

27

Which films will win an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jul 3, 3:44 PMJul 10, 8:59 PM

7897

OptionProbability

Mickey 17

1

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

49.25%chance

24755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1190

752

Will Conan O’Brien host the Academy Awards (Oscars) for a third consecutive year (2027)?

Mar 15, 6:55 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

97.56%chance

9741

OptionVotes

NO

YES

633

16

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.26%chance

23618

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1162

810

Will "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award

Mar 27, 6:17 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM

41.57%chance

7506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

843

Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?

May 5, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.9%chance

7417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

431

23

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.15%chance

10280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

71

Will students be able to enroll in Trump's "American Academy" by the end of his mandate?

Nov 20, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.97%chance

3210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

116

Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?

May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.91%chance

4189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

35

How many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination?

May 23, 11:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

266

OptionProbability

0-2

3-4

5-6

7-8

9+

20

20

20

20

20

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

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