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Prediction markets for the Americas

Will a nation outside of Europe or South America make it to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?

Aug 9, 1:31 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM

12%chance

273924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1868

798

Will an explicitly racist or sexist politician get elected to major office in America by the end of 2030?

Jun 19, 3:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

71.22%chance

353805

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1621

550

Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030?

Nov 21, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.59%chance

372585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1571

858

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Aug 30, 10:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

202095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

959

Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

34.3%chance

221821

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1384

722

Fentanyl is no longer the most deadly drug in America at some point before 2030

Jan 17, 6:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

53.36%chance

351509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

980

Will the President of the United States of America admit to using AI to help make an important decision before 2028 ends

Aug 12, 9:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.86%chance

251214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

807

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

74.01%chance

351164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

600

Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2029?

Sep 6, 4:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

67.43%chance

261032

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

756

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

74.79%chance

26735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

935

Will the America Party be more successful than the Forward Party by the 2026 midterm elections?

Jul 6, 8:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.43%chance

13714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1165

859

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.62%chance

20474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

972

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