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Prediction markets for the Americas

Will there be a trans genocide in America in the next four years?

Jun 30, 3:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.45%chance

3813477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3292

304

Will an explicitly racist or sexist politician get elected to major office in America by the end of 2030?

Jun 19, 3:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

94.43%chance

354967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3900

193

Will a nation outside of Europe or South America make it to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?

Aug 9, 1:31 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM

12%chance

284124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1868

798

Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2029?

Sep 6, 4:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

55%chance

272910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

966

Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030?

Nov 21, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.59%chance

372585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1571

858

Will Mr Beast ever be elected President of the United States of America?

Aug 30, 10:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

5.51%chance

212101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

965

Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

34.33%chance

231823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

723

Will the America Party be more successful than the Forward Party by the 2026 midterm elections?

Jul 6, 8:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.97%chance

151688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1831

546

Fentanyl is no longer the most deadly drug in America at some point before 2030

Jan 17, 6:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

55.65%chance

351559

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

958

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

73.9%chance

351165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

597

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

74.79%chance

26735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

935

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.62%chance

20474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

972

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