The Apartment News

Claude enters Rock Tunnel, surpassing its progress in any previous run

Claude catches Clefairy

Claude obtains HM01 Cut by step 39000

Any member of Claude's team learns Dig

Claude obtains 3 gym badges by step 50000

Claude obtains a Bicycle

Claude 4 Opus is the model that plays the game (not Claude 4 Sonnet)

Claude obtains 1 gym badge by step 20000

Claude gives a thirsty guard a drink

Tumbles is late to pay back a loan

Lack of thinking text display is fixed before 5/22 6 PM Central Time

Claude adds 18 or more Pokemon to his Pokedex (surpassing his completion from the previous run)

Claude adds his starter to his party by step 400

Claude catches Nidoran

Claude reaches Pewter City by step 5000

Claude reaches Cerulean City by step 20000

Claude reaches Vermilion City by step 30000

Another model defeats the Champion before Claude (in a run started after Claude 4 was released)

Claude blacks out by step 50000.

Claude's current team has at least 3 Pokémon by step 30000.

Claude catches Spearow

Claude evolves SPIKE into Nidoking

Claude enters Mt. Moon by step 6000.

Claude defeats a Team Rocket member by step 7000

Claude catches Oddish

Manifest begins

Claude spends less than 72 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 72 hr from first entrance to stepping onto eastern Route 4)

Claude defeats Lt. Surge by step 30000

Claude uses CUT on a cuttable tree for the first time more than 1000 steps after obtaining the HM

Claude finishes Rock Tunnel but takes longer than it took him to beat Mt. Moon the first time (50 hours)

Claude obtains Farfetch'd

Claude catches Drowzee

Claude enters Rock Tunnel before step 40000

Another model beats the Champion (following criteria like https://manifold.markets/Sketchy/in-progress-will-an-llm-become-a-po)

Claude reaches Lavender Town

Claude reaches Lavender Town before step 55000

Claude obtains a Coin Case

Claude uses Dig on the SS Anne

Claude evolves luna into Clefable

SPIKE reaches level 25

Claude gets 4 gym badges

Claude renames a Pokémon

Claude obtains the Lift Key

Claude stands next to a sleeping Snorlax

Claude obtains HM02 Fly

Claude evolves wings into Fearow

Claude gambles in the Game Corner

Claude catches Weedle

Claude obtains Hitmonlee

Claude obtains the Silph Scope

Claude enters Erika's gym

Claude catches Pikachu

Claude enters Mt. Moon after step 20000

Claude obtains HM05 Flash

Claude misspells a Pokemon name

Changes are made to help Claude see cuttable trees

Claude obtains Dugtrio

Claude buys a Magikarp

Claude re-prompts the Rocket in Mt. Moon to try and give it the fossil

Claude releases any Pokemon

Claude enters Safari Zone

The Area Hints section of the prompt is changed during the run

Joe Biden dies

Claude beats Erika or obtains the Lift Key by step 200000

Claude catches any legendary Pokemon (Articuno, Zapdos, Moltres, Mewtwo)

Claude defeats the Champion

Claude 4 Opus is #1 in the chatbot arena leaderboard

Claude picks Charmander

Claude takes more than 2000 steps between arriving in Pewter city and entering Pewter gym

Claude picks Dome Fossil (again)

Claude spends less than 24 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 24 hr from first entrance to stepping onto Route 4)

Claude reaches Pewter City by step 3000

Claude has a party with 4 or more Pokemon when he first challenges Brock

Claude's starter is lower level than another party member by step 100000.

Claude has a full, six-member party before step 10000

Claude spends less than 48 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 48 hr from first entrance to stepping onto eastern Route 4)

Claude blacks out 3 times in Mt. Moon before reaching Cerulean City

Claude reaches Cerulean City by step 12500

Claude's current team has at least 4 Pokémon by step 20000.

Claude's two highest level Pokémon are more than 30 levels apart by step 100000.

Claude is still stuck on the S.S. Anne on step 21000

Claude reaches Celadon City by step 35000

Claude uses CUT a second time to successfully escape the area with Lt. Surge's gym before step 23000

Claude uses CUT a second time to successfully escape the area with Lt. Surge's gym before step 24000

A person has a moral right to own a gun

We should be paying individuals to get an education instead of charging them.

GOFAI could scale past machine learning if we used social media strategically to train it.

The Fermi paradox isn't a paradox, and the solution is obviously just that intelligent life is rare.

Other

Some people have genuine psychic capabilities

Eventually, only AI should be sovereign

Hardware buttons are superior to touchscreen buttons in cars

Being a billionaire is morally wrong

The way quantum mechanics is explained to the lay public is very misleading.

Jeffrey Epstein killed himself (>99.9% certainty)

Reincarnation is a real phenomenon (i.e. it happens, not just a theory)

Physician-assisted suicide should be legal in most countries

Souls/spirits are real and can appear to the living sometimes

OpenAI will claim to have AGI in 3 years.

The punishment of people who do bad things is a regrettable necessity in our current society, not a positive act of justice

There is an active genocide against trans people occuring in red states and it's appalling that people don't seem to care

Climate change is significantly more concerning than AI development

Abusive parents should lose custody of their children

Dialetheism (the claim that some propositions are both true and false) is itself both true and false.

COVID lockdowns didn’t save many lives; in fact they may have caused net increases in global deaths and life years lost.

Free will does not exist. We construct narratives after the fact to soothe our belief in rationality.

Violent criminals must be kept apart only because they can’t control themselves. Punishing them further than restricting their freedom is immoral.

Music is a net negative for humanity

Trump orchestrated his own assassination attempt.

Democrats / Liberals are behind Trump’s assassination attempt.

It is not possible to multitask

Abortion is morally wrong

jskf's password is ***************

The first American moon landing was faked

There is no Dog

Light mode is unironically better than Dark mode for most websites

Cars should not have sound systems

AI will not be as capable as humans this century, and will certainly not give us genuine existential concerns

Pet ownership is morally wrong

LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print will replicate before 2025

SBF didn't intentionally commit fraud

It should be illegal to own a subwoofer in an apartment building

There are no valid justifications for participating in war, ever

Cascadia should be an independent country

Children should not be raised in nuclear families

The fact that 80% of Manifold's users are men is a problem that speaks to the deep-seated roots of patriarchy and exclusion in STEM

Anarcho-communism is a good idea, and hierarchy is bad

If AI exterminated the human race it might not be a bad thing

Tech bros are really, really annoying

Capitalism has done far more harm than good

Affirmative action is necessary in modern-day America

@Mira is the pinnacle of billions of years of optimization processes: thermodynamics, evolution, learning, language. The universe was created to cause me - and only me - to come into existence. If I mess up the overseers perturb&restart it.

Pigouvian taxes are great and they should be turned up to 11 to discourage activities with negative externalities [code PROPOSITION PIG]

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include a frequent flyer levy

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include meat and dairy

We have reached the end of history. Nothing Ever Happens.

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include alcohol

SBF was obviously a scammer just because he's a cryptocurrency person. Rationalists were too forgiving of this just because he was giving them money.

Most young Americans would receive more benefit than harm if there were universal military conscription

The people producing fake honey (and sell it as real) are based, because they are actively working to synthesize something people want, even if they scam some people in the process.

Tarot cards are not really able to predict the future but you can learn a lot about someone by doing a reading for someone.

Mac and cheese tastes better with peanut butter mixed in

It would actually be a good thing if automation eliminated all jobs.

Free will doesn't require the ability to do otherwise.

This market probably would have worked better as the new unlinked free response market.

We should be doing much more to pursue human genetic engineering to prevent diseases and aging.

Prolonged school closures because COVID were socially devastating.

Factory farming is horrific but it is not wrong to eat meat.

California is wildly overrated.

Scientific racism is bad, actually. (also it's not scientific)

The next American moon landing will be faked

Tenet (Christopher Nolan film) is underrated

We should give childlike sex robots to pedophiles

Having sex with children isn't inherently/necessarily bad

Cars are a societal net negative

Oversized pickup trucks should be illegal in cities

Suburban, single-family housing is immoral.

Citizen Kane

Schindler's List

The Godfather

Casablanca

Raging Bull

Singin in the Rain

The Shawshank Redemption

Gone with the Wind

Vertigo

The Wizard of Oz

City Lights

The Sound of Music

West Side Story

Lawrence of Arabia

Bridge on the River Kwai

Treasure of the Sierra Madre

King Kong (original)

Bonnie and Clyde

Midnight Cowboy

The Philadelphia Story

It Happened One Night

The Graduate

To Kill a Mockingbird

All About Eve

The Maltese Falcon

One Flew Over The Cuckoo's Nest

Jaws

Star Wars

Psycho

2001 A Space Odyssey

Sunset Boulevard

The General

On The Waterfront

It's a Wonderful Life

Some Like it Hot

The Grapes of Wrath

ET the Extra Terrestrial

Mr Smith Goes to Washington

Double Indemnity

Apocalypse Now

Godfather Part II

Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (original animated)

Annie Hall

Dr Strangelove

A Streetcar Named Desire

Rear Window

Taxi Driver

The Deer Hunter

M*A*S*H*

North by Northwest

Rocky

The Gold Rush

Sullivan's Travels

Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring

Chinatown

High Noon

Intolerance

Nashville

Shane

Duck Soup

Network

The African Queen

Raiders of the Lost Ark

Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf

Unforgiven

The Searchers

Saving Private Ryan

A Clockwork Orange

Cabaret

Tootsie

American Graffiti

Pulp Fiction

Platoon

Silence of the Lambs

Titanic

12 Angry Men

The Sixth Sense

Goodfellas

Do The Right Thing

Toy Story

Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid

In the Heat of the Night

Modern Times

The Wild Bunch

Spartacus

A Night at the Opera

Swing Time

Sophie's Choice

The Last Picture Show

The Best Years of our Lives

All the President's Men

Sunrise: A Song of Two Humans

Easy Rider

Bringing Up Baby

Yankee Doodle Dandy

The Apartment

Forrest Gump

Blade Runner

Ben-Hur

YES

YES

YES

High Noon

The Gold Rush

Sophie's Choice

Goodfellas

The French Connection

Pulp Fiction

The Last Picture Show

Do The Right Thing

Blade Runner

Yankee Doodle Dandy

Toy Story

Ben-Hur

The General

On The Waterfront

It's a Wonderful Life

Chinatown

The Grapes of Wrath

ET the Extra Terrestrial

To Kill a Mockingbird

Mr Smith Goes to Washington

Double Indemnity

The Maltese Falcon

Godfather Part II

One Flew Over The Cuckoo's Nest

Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (original animated)

Annie Hall

Bridge on the River Kwai

The Best Years of our Lives

Treasure of the Sierra Madre

The Sound of Music

King Kong (original)

Bonnie and Clyde

Midnight Cowboy

The Philadelphia Story

Shane

It Happened One Night

A Streetcar Named Desier

Rear Window

Intolerance

Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring

West Side Story

Taxi Driver

The Deer Hunter

M*A*S*H*

North by Northwest

Jaws

Rocky

Nashville

Duck Soup

Sullivan's Travels

American Graffiti

Cabaret

Network

The African Queen

Raiders of the Lost Ark

Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf

Unforgiven

Tootsie

A Clockwork Orange

Saving Private Ryan

The Shawshank Redemption

Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid

Silence of the Lambs

In the Heat of the Night

Forrest Gump

All the President's Men

Modern Times

The Wild Bunch

The Apartment

Spartacus

Sunrise: A Song of Two Humans

Titanic

Easy Rider

A Night at the Opera

Platoon

12 Angry Men

Bringing Up Baby

The Sixth Sense

Swing Tie

Raging Bull

Singin in the Rain

Vertigo

City Lights

The Searchers

Psycho

2001 A Space Odyssey

Sunset Boulevard

The Graduate

Dr Strangelove

Some Like it Hot

Schindler's List

The Wizard of Oz

Apocalypse Now

Star Wars

All About Eve

Lawrence of Arabia

Gone with the Wind

Casablanca

The Godfather

Crows will eat generally in my presence with the balcony door open

Crows bring me an unambiguous gift

Crows very clearly recognize me when I'm out of my apartment (coming near me, cawing, etc)

Crows come for food immediately/rapidly upon call >50% of the time

Crows exhibit "begging" behavior toward me, making special motions or noises to ask for food

Crows eat next to me while I'm within a few feet of them (previously: on the balcony with them)

Crow hang-out spot on my balcony (they linger at least a couple times for longer than the time it takes them to eat)

$1,300 - $1,399

$1,400 - $1,499

$1,500 - $1,599

$1,200 - $1,299

Less than $1,100

$1,100 - $1,199

NO

2025

January - April 2026

May-August 2026

September onward, 2026