The Block News

Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates

Mar 9, 5:13 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

144222

OptionProbability

July 1 2033

July 1 2034

July 1 2040

July 1 2039

July 1 2032

July 1 2035

July 1 2036

July 1 2037

July 1 2038

Jan 1 2031

July 1 2031

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

Jan 1 2030

July 1 2030

Jan 1 2028

July 1 2028

July 1 2027

April 1 2027

Jan 1 2027

Oct 1 2026

July 1 2026

April 1 2026

July 1 2025

Oct 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

Will Manifold be blocked in China at the end of 2025?

Mar 3, 4:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.09%chance

504013

OptionVotes

YES

495

118

Impeach the Judge who blocked DOGE from accessing U.S. Treasury records? How far will this go?

Feb 9, 9:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

213255

OptionProbability

Initiation and Investigation: A member or committee of the House of Representatives begins impeachment proceedings. The House Judiciary Committee investigates the allegations of misconduct

Charges: If the committee finds sufficient evidence, it acts as a prosecutor and brings charges against the judge.

The U.S. Court of Appeals or the Supreme Court overturns Judge Engelmayer's ruling to block Executive cabinet and staffers from accessing U.S. Treasury records, and no impeachment proceedings are initiated by May 9, 2025.

House Votes YES to Impeach: The entire House of Representatives votes on the impeachment. A simple majority is required to impeach the judge.

Senate Trial and Removal: If impeached, the case is referred to the Senate for a trial. A two-thirds majority vote in the Senate is required to convict and remove the judge from office.

100

Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?

Oct 16, 1:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.55%chance

162025

OptionVotes

YES

2439

434

Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?

Dec 18, 9:07 AMMar 3, 4:59 AM

13.36%chance

14938

OptionVotes

YES

1277

916

Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2025

Jun 19, 3:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12413

OptionProbability

JD Vance (@jd-vance-1.bsky.social)

Other

The White House (@whitehouse-47.bsky.social)

Homeland Security (@homelandgov.bsky.social)

Jesse Singal (@jessesingal.com)

Brianna Wu (@brianna.bsky.social)

Will the Turkish delegates trying to enter Gaza to help retrieve dead hostages continue to be blocked by Israel?

Nov 1, 8:02 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

94.64%chance

2320

OptionVotes

YES

420

Will the FTC attempt to block a TikTok acquisition, if one is attempted?

Apr 22, 7:19 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

18.58%chance

8204

OptionVotes

YES

364

Will the US mandate all new car windows block UV-A by 2030?

Jul 14, 8:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.39%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

1097

912

Feb 26, 8:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

52.31%chance

1198

OptionVotes

YES

1003

997

Will part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 10 year block on joining NATO or EU?

Nov 10, 4:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.38%chance

682

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 20 year block on joining NATO or EU?

Nov 10, 4:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.02%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

142

The Block News

Prediction markets for The Block

Prediction markets for The Block

Prediction markets for The Block

Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates

Will Manifold be blocked in China at the end of 2025?

Impeach the Judge who blocked DOGE from accessing U.S. Treasury records? How far will this go?

Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?

Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?

Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2025

Will the Turkish delegates trying to enter Gaza to help retrieve dead hostages continue to be blocked by Israel?

Will the FTC attempt to block a TikTok acquisition, if one is attempted?

Will the US mandate all new car windows block UV-A by 2030?

Will the EU regulate geo-blocking of copyright protected content by EOY 2027?

Will part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 10 year block on joining NATO or EU?

Will part of the agreed ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine involve a minimum 20 year block on joining NATO or EU?

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