OptionProbability
Darwin (FPV drone operator with 92nd Brigade of AFU)
Javier Milei
Elon Musk
Elton John
Kanye West
Donald Trump
Xi Jinping
Vladimir Putin
Joe Biden
100
13
7
6
4
3
US/Israeli announce Iran navy annihilated. All surface ships bigger than 10 tons. Small subs also not counted
Regular opposition broadcasts hacking Iran TV 3 more times. Like the State TV/IRIB satellite hack.
One or more Town(s), city(s), declare as free of iran regime control for over 2 days
Interim council fractures, or all current dead or one member defects publicly
A brigade or base commander in any city switches sides
High Profile flips - 2+ named officers go on video via Starlink calling on units to stand down or defect.
71
38
33
31
21
Not on NATO area/Not at all
Other
Estonia
Lithuania
Latvia
Finland
Alaska
70
12
2
UCB
iO
Second City
None, these will be the first-ever private equity acquisitions to thrive
36
