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Prediction markets for The City

Will more than 100,000 people live in a line-shaped city in Saudi Arabia in 2035? eg The Line

Jan 31, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.44%chance

4218048

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

901

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.68%chance

12111391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2024

1915

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

58053

OptionProbability

Kansas

Missouri

Other

68

32

0

Will Manchester City be severely punished by the Premier League?

Feb 4, 3:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.57%chance

566814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5120

1904

Will 1% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035

Jul 6, 12:09 AMJun 15, 11:59 PM

49.09%chance

75545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

982

Will 5,000+ people live in the city of Praxis before 2030?

Sep 18, 5:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.03%chance

434104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1298

691

Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?

Oct 13, 7:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.71%chance

573680

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1284

912

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

Jan 10, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34%chance

253062

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

542

Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?

Sep 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.86%chance

271699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1320

513

Will the first self-driving car company to deploy in 50 cities use an end-to-end approach?

Oct 6, 1:13 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

72.59%chance

181548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1736

350

Will at least 3 American cities reach a population of 1 million for the first time before 2030?

Aug 20, 4:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.58%chance

7238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

950

Will Dubai be ranked 18th or above in the 2028 Kearney Global Cities Index?

Sep 29, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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