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Prediction markets for The Clearing Company
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
May 22, 12:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.98%chance
205508701
OptionVotes
38159
2279
Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰
Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
38143845
OptionProbability
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55%chance
162128790
OptionVotes
11055
9045
OptionProbability
80
79
77
69
64
62
60
59
59
21
21
0
OptionProbability
70
29
1
OptionVotes
11634
10188
OptionVotes
1512
682
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?
Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM
41.2%chance
10613529
OptionVotes
1412
893
OptionVotes
2871
348
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
29.72%chance
1418719
OptionVotes
3323
1983
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%chance
745724
OptionVotes
2141
900
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
94
60
43
27
18
18
16


