It will be trending on Twitter the day of release. A name like "GPT", "OpenAI", "GPT-5" could all count. Checked from a clean account.
It will be able to translate a page of manga (JP image -> EN text)
It will support at least 199.5k context
It will be trained on reasoning traces from o1/o3 type models
It will support at least 499.5k context
It will support at least 999.5k context
It will have a different logo color from green, black, or purple(based on resolution of https://manifold.markets/MiraBot/what-color-will-the-next-openai-llm?r=TWlyYUJvdA)
It will be a model router.
Output tokens will be cheaper than GPT-4 Turbo(as of March 12, 2024)
Its knowledge cutoff will be any day in June 2024
It will use a new architecture meaningfully different from GPT-4
Its knowledge cutoff will be in or later than July 2024
OpenAI will claim it faster than GPT-4 Turbo
It will be ranked the highest model on the LMSys Chatbot Arena, and not overtaken by another model, 3 months after the release date.
It will be able to pass jim's "agents benchmark"
There will be credible reporting that it is or was "excessively horny" either before or up to three months after release
Will be claimed to be AGI by the New York times up to 3 months after release.
Will be claimed to be AGI by OpenAI up to 3 months after release.
Its knowledge cutoff will be in or before April 2024
Its knowledge cutoff will be any day in May 2024
Will be claimed to be AGI by Wikipedia up to 3 months after release.
