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Prediction markets for The Cure

The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.

Dec 21, 5:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.67%chance

1139573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1912

1573

Will Type 1 Diabetes be cured by the end of 2040?

Dec 22, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.01%chance

231215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

737

Will Mark Zuckerberg cure all human desises till the end of the century?

Oct 23, 12:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.89%chance

151146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1628

916

By the start of 2026, will at least 1000 people have been permanently cured of HIV?

Nov 24, 7:55 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

19.19%chance

32987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1599

718

When will Neuralink implant the first chip to cure blindness in a person?

Mar 29, 4:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19795

OptionProbability

2025

Later or never

2026-2027

2024

38

34

22

6

We will have a cure for cancer by the end of the century

Feb 23, 5:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

65.24%chance

17772

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

966

By the start of 2026, will at least 100 people have been permanently cured of HIV?

Nov 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

35.38%chance

23715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

851

Will China unveil a peer reviewed surgical cure for Alzheimers by the end of 2026?

Nov 25, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.43%chance

7193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Will China unveil a peer reviewed surgical cure for Alzheimers by the end of 2027?

Nov 25, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.13%chance

11160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will my non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) be cured by the end of 2026?

Jun 21, 10:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

78.83%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

52

Will a cancer therapy approved by the FDA before 2027 successfully cure >1 cancer type?

Aug 4, 12:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.25%chance

679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

73

Will Mr.Beast create/announce something like a #TeamSees to cure blindness around the world

Jan 30, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.56%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

78

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