The Defender News

A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026

Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting

At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026

Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket

Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026

A Supreme Court ruling (regular or shadow docket) has at least 3 dissents

A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc)

A sitting GOP Senator criticizes the firing (more than just concerns)

Cook's replacement votes when regional Fed Presidents' terms are up for renewal (Feb 2026)

Trump will make up a nickname for Cook (announced via post or interview)

A plaintiff sues the Fed, asking court to enforce Cook's firing

Cook is barred from at least 1 FOMC meeting, AND her firing is ultimately deemed illegal

Trump actually attempts to fire Powell before Cook firing litigation is complete

Trump threatens to fire Powell "for cause" since he didn't remove Cook

Cook is indicted for a felony related to her mortgages before litigation about her firing is completed

Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat before 2026

Cook resigns

Cook is charged with any crime by the Justice Department before 2026

Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026

Yields on 10-year US Treasuries surpass 4.600% anytime before 10/1/25

Magic: The Gathering

Cult of the Lamb

Death's Door

Shift Happens

Baba is You

Understand

The Witness

Hollow Knight

It Takes Two

Unravel Two

Portal 2

Braid

Portal

Superliminal

The Talos Principle

The Talos Principle 2

Antichamber

Perspective

Portal Reloaded

Portal Stories: Mel

Thinking with Time Machine

Cell Machine

Bokura

Hades

Hades 2

Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes

Superhot

Slay the Princess

Mind over Magnet

Escape Academy

Pico Park 2

Viewfinder

Silksong

Baba Is You XTREME

blue prince

The Room

Pico Park

Wargroove

Patrick's Parabox

Q.U.B.E. 2

Q.U.B.E.

The Stanley Parable

Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A Game Inside A

Stardew Valley

Splendor (tabletop game)

We Were Here Too

Advance Wars

Mini Motorways

Human: Fall Flat

Outer Wilds

Don't Starve

Doki Doki Literature Club!

We Were Here

Castle Crashers

Spiritfarer

scarlet hollow

Terraria

Chants of Sennaar

Patch Quest

Minecraft

999

Detroit: Become Human

Wild Woods

Manifold Garden

We Were Here Forever

Goragoa

Subnauticta

We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip

Tokimeki Memorial

Baldur's Gate 3

Beyond: Two Souls

Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc

What Remains of Edith Finch

Clandestine

Nobody Saves the World

Lovers in Dangerous Spacetime

Glider (1988)

Split Fiction

Rayman Legends

LittleBigPlanet 3

Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light

Bean and nothingness

Space Station 13

Nomifactory

Monifactory

Rebirth of the Night

Induction

Akane

Zero Time Dilemma

Morrowind

going under: internships are heck

Animal Well

English Country Tune

English Country Tune

Satisfactory

Expedition 33

Quantum Conundrum

Stoneshard

Final Fantasy Tactics (original)

Final Fantasy Tactics Advanced

Final Fantasy Tactics Advanced 2

Octopath Travel

Project Triangle Strategy

Sokosoko

Physics-Breaking Boxes

Inbox Unbox

Linelith

Boxing Up Bamboo

Frog Wizard Gem Quest

The Vacuum Cleaner in the Room

Clockwork Cat

salt and sactuary

From Muddled to Clean

Path to Nowhere

Arknights

Defender's Quest: Valley of the Forgotten

Lorelei and the Laser Eyes

A Monster's Expedition

Lingo

Solas 128

Gentoo Rescue

Ugly

Toki Tori 2+

Veggie Quest: The Puzzle Game

Isles of Sea and Sky

Chroma Zero

Paquerette

Riven

Baba Files Taxes

Baba Is Quiz

A Solitaire Mystery

IT'S A BLOCK-PUSHING GAME

Leaf's Odyssey

Submachine

LOK Digital

Leap Year

Recursed

Fever Meme

Zero Escape: Virtue's Last Reward

Moonlighter

Myst

We Were Here Together

Hyperrogue

Void Stranger

PEAK

Sackboy: A Big Adventure

Arc Raiders

Unstable Unicorns 🦄

Mario Party

Magicka

Exploding kittens

Yume Nikki

The House of DaVinci

Tunic

Moving Out

Moving Out

Timberborn

Trine 2

A Couple Of Cubes

Root (tabletop or digital version)

Children of Morta

Rainworld

Deadly Rooms of Death

Fez

CrossCode

Cocoon

Islands of Insight

Monopoly

USSR Simulator (https://flowlab.io/game/play/1151923) (trash but still)

SteamWorld Dig

Snakebird

Chess

Slay the Spire

Among Us

Stephen's Sausage Roll

Amazing Chicken Adventures

Wingspan

Can of Wormholes

Disco Elysium

Overcooked

Return of the Obra Dinn

Inscryption

Slice and Dice

Teardown

Has 10,000+ articles

Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods

Contains AI-generated articles

Accessible without login

Standalone website (not just a Twitter/X feature)

Content is under a free license

Contains a "Wikipedia" article

No entry for Mechahitler

Has an entry for Manifold Markets

Will actually be called "Grokipedia"

left-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

it is cringe

It's proven (within a week after release) that Musk has personally influenced at least one article (eg. manual correction, edits to the prompt for just that article, “de-biasing”, etc)

States that the race/ethnicity differences in IQ are mostly or entirely genetic

Larry Sanger inserts himself into it somehow

Uses Cloudflare to defend from scrapers

Released in 2026

Anyone can edit

Administered by a partially-human editorial board

Users will only be able to edit by prompting AI for changes

Articles written in 10+ languages

Has a way to see what specifically about an article was changed in a similar way to Wikipedia and other adjacent wikis

right-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

Grok will routinely check it when answering questions

Not released before 2030

Manifold likes it, according to a poll

Contains advertisements

Will be called Encyclopedia Galactica

has an official app on the Apple App Store

Uses a preexisting wiki engine or CMS

States that the death toll of the (Jewish) Holocaust was <3 million

"designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"

empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

"lower taxes"

"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

"open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"

"order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"

"end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"

"ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"

"reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"

"REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"

"stop all COVID mandates"

"keep men out of women’s sports"

"deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"

"more jobs for American workers"

"deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"

"choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"

"get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"

"cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"

"strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"

"uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"

"bigger paychecks"

"implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"

"put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"

"build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"

"surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"

"adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"

"banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"

"banning federal agencies from censoring speech"

"a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"

"enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"

"cut the number of school administrators"

"stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"

declassify the 'Epstein files'

"pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"

"deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"

"veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"

"increase fairness through price transparency"

"passing a digital bill of rights"

"reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"

"get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"

"continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"

"create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"

"protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"

"firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"

"ban private money from pouring into local election offices"

"end surprise medical billing"

"ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"

"reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"

"reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"

"impose a total naval embargo on cartels"

"a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"

"a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"

"implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"

"a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"

Dismissal

Judgment in favor of defendant

Judgment in favor of plaintiff

A lawsuit reaches a settlement

Training data is leaked or disclosed publicly by the court

Microsoft drops its partnership with Suno

A lawsuit reaches judgment

A lawsuit reaches trial

A lawsuit is dismissed

A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the plaintiff

A lawsuit expands to include Microsoft as a defendant

A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the defendant

Udio or Suno will shutdown services permanently

A Billboard Top-100 Artist testifies at trial

A model is publicly released which scores >45% on Humanity’s Last Exam (no tools)

Anthropic announces that it has activated ASL-4 for an internally or externally deployed model

METR or an equivalently credible organization judges that a tested AI system (not necessarily released) is “self-sustaining,” capable in principle to “autonomously operate indefinitely, acquire resources, and defend its existence”

A model is publicly released which scores >65% on Humanity’s Last Exam (no tools)

The US unemployment rate exceeds 10% for any reason

Anthropic announces that it has activated ASL-5 for an internally or externally deployed model

US Real GDP growth rate exceeds 6% (annualized) for two consecutive quarters, attributed primarily to AI

Juror names are not public record

The defense calls fewer witnesses than the prosecution

Jury sequestered for entire trial

Trial doesn't start until 2026

Court TV offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"

Law & Crime offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"

Luigi Mangione changes counsel during trial

Alternate juror is seated as a member of the Jury

The case will be heard as a bench trial

Brady evidence is withheld

AUSA sanctioned

Defense counsel sanctioned

A motion for recusal is made

Defendant held in contempt

Jury is sequestered just during deliberations

Yes - Contiguous United States

Yes - Pacific Territories

Yes - Hawaii and Alaska

NO

NO

NO