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Prediction markets for The Dodo

Will Colossal Biosciences de-extinct a species by the end of 2028? (READ DESCRIPTION)

Jan 16, 3:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.18%chance

574907

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

42

Will the dodo be de-extincted before 2040?

Feb 3, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

374241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

929

Which extinct species will be brought back to life by 2037?

Mar 11, 4:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

383908

OptionProbability

Any of clade Dinosauria (dinosaurs)

Pyrenean ibex

Mammoth

Dire Wolf

Dodo

Thylacine (Tasmanian tiger)

Passenger Pigeon

Moa

Auroch

Steller's sea cow

Any species extinct more than 65 million years ago

86

82

80

67

66

63

60

50

38

29

5

Will the dodo bird be brought back from extinction before the end of 2030?

Mar 3, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.49%chance

281378

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

492

Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?

Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.37%chance

211178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

741

What will be the first animal (sub)species to be de-extincted? [Add responses]

May 4, 12:19 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

17575

OptionProbability

Other

Thylacine

Dire wolf

Passenger Pigeon

Woolly Mammoth

Aurochs

Dodo

Human

41

26

18

6

4

2

1

1

What will be the first eukaryote to be de-extincted?

Feb 11, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9220

OptionProbability

Passenger pigeon

Other

Thylacine

Aurochs

Iberian ibex

Dodo

Quagga

Rapa Nui palm

Christmas Island rat

Wooly mammoth

Xerces blue

Elephant bird

47

22

14

6

3

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

Colossal Biosciences: which happens first?

Aug 21, 2:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7218

OptionProbability

None of the above by Jan1 2029

Company is out of business

Company is acquired by another company.

Company announces the birth of a Dodo (hybrid)

Company announces the birth of a Woolly Mammoth (hybrid)

Other

34

26

16

15

6

1

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