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Prediction markets for The Dodo

Will Colossal Biosciences de-extinct a species by the end of 2028? (READ DESCRIPTION)

Jan 16, 3:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.18%chance

574907

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

42

Will the dodo be de-extincted before 2040?

Feb 3, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.49%chance

384291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

979

Which extinct species will be brought back to life by 2037?

Mar 11, 4:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

403927

OptionProbability

Any of clade Dinosauria (dinosaurs)

Pyrenean ibex

Mammoth

Dire Wolf

Dodo

Passenger Pigeon

Thylacine (Tasmanian tiger)

Moa

Auroch

Steller's sea cow

Any species extinct more than 65 million years ago

85

82

80

68

66

63

57

50

38

29

5

Will the dodo bird be brought back from extinction before the end of 2030?

Mar 3, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.13%chance

291478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

592

Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?

Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.37%chance

211178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

741

What will be the first animal (sub)species to be de-extincted? [Add responses]

May 4, 12:19 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

17575

OptionProbability

Other

Thylacine

Dire wolf

Passenger Pigeon

Woolly Mammoth

Aurochs

Dodo

Human

41

26

18

6

4

2

1

1

What will be the first eukaryote to be de-extincted?

Feb 11, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11228

OptionProbability

Passenger pigeon

Other

Thylacine

Dodo

Aurochs

Rapa Nui palm

Iberian ibex

Quagga

Christmas Island rat

Wooly mammoth

Xerces blue

Elephant bird

43

20

15

8

6

3

2

2

1

1

0

0

Colossal Biosciences: which happens first?

Aug 21, 2:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7218

OptionProbability

None of the above by Jan1 2029

Company is out of business

Company is acquired by another company.

Company announces the birth of a Dodo (hybrid)

Company announces the birth of a Woolly Mammoth (hybrid)

Other

34

26

16

15

6

1

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