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Prediction markets for The Economic Times

Trump impose large tariffs in first year?

Oct 18, 11:16 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

99.57%chance

16081897071

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246473

3311

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

64.96%chance

23792147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6394

4049

During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?

Nov 9, 7:59 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

99708

OptionProbability

U-1

U-3

U-2

U-4

U-5

32

26

24

24

24

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?

Mar 14, 11:02 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

70.28%chance

712780

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1737

971

Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?

Jan 17, 1:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.22%chance

362415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

941

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.17%chance

101697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2277

439

Aging cured by 2040 if AGI by 2030?

May 7, 9:30 PMDec 30, 9:09 PM

18.71%chance

231420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?

Apr 18, 12:20 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

42%chance

101373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

By What time will Socialism become the predominant economic system?

Dec 16, 7:44 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

281059

OptionProbability

2100

Capitalism will be replaced By a different system that is not socialism

2050

Socialism will never become the prominent economic system

Far Future

Near Future

75

65

57

51

41

23

Will Russia rejoin G7/G8 before EOY 2050?

Jun 12, 3:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.5%chance

15800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

932

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

Nov 7, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

55.78%chance

5146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

890

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