The Fabricant News

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

10%chance

394035

OptionVotes

YES

2008

763

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

1925

695

Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?

Jan 11, 5:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.49%chance

283124

OptionVotes

YES

1857

539

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Jun 6, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.73%chance

183089

OptionVotes

YES

1442

916

Tesla (props)

Mar 7, 11:01 AMMar 7, 11:01 AM

182651

OptionProbability

Optimus robots deployed in Tesla factories (>10 units) by Dec 31, 2026

Cybercab production exceeds 500/month by Sep 30, 2026

Marques Brownlee shaves his head on camera by December 31, 2026

Cortex 2 AI cluster operational by August 1, 2026

Unsupervised FSD releases to non-employees in US by June 30, 2026

Tesla merges with SpaceX by December 31, 2026

Terafab fabricates at least one chip in 2026

TSLA stock closes above $500 before April 1, 2026

Will a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2026?

Dec 18, 11:25 PMJun 2, 1:59 AM

15.21%chance

11713

OptionVotes

YES

413

111

What process node will AMD use for the Zen 6 desktop CPU cores?

Jun 24, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

3654

OptionProbability

TSMC N2

TSMC N2P

TSMC 2nm (Other)

Other

TSMC N2X

TSMC N4X

TSMC N3

TSMC N3E

TSMC N3P

TSMC N3X

TSMC N4

Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?

Dec 18, 6:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

10483

OptionVotes

YES

142

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Mar 12, 6:40 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

19463

OptionProbability

Robots

Some As of Early 2024 Not Even Published Yet Architecture as Revolutionary as Transformers was in 2017

Synthetic Biology / Genetic Engineering: For example, developing new vaccines, engineering proteins for sustainable fabric production, developing cell-cultured meats, plant-based meat alternatives, and engineering human immune cells.

Quantum Computing

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Oct 19, 12:12 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

43.06%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

1150

870

Will the thinner shirt be the first to get ruined ?

Mar 4, 4:38 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

72.4%chance

485

OptionVotes

YES

244

111

Will it be shown Ronald C Kessler committed academic misconduct by 2040?

Apr 7, 1:15 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

35.7%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

The Fabricant News

Prediction markets for The Fabricant

Prediction markets for The Fabricant

Prediction markets for The Fabricant

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Tesla (props)

Will a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2026?

What process node will AMD use for the Zen 6 desktop CPU cores?

Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Will the thinner shirt be the first to get ruined ?

Will it be shown Ronald C Kessler committed academic misconduct by 2040?

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