The Fabricant News

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.43%chance

233162

OptionVotes

YES

1875

705

Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?

Jan 11, 5:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.49%chance

283124

OptionVotes

YES

1857

539

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Jun 6, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.73%chance

183089

OptionVotes

YES

1442

916

In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?

Mar 28, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

182071

OptionProbability

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2025-2029

2045-2050

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

14.42%chance

321978

OptionVotes

YES

1455

838

Will a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2026?

Dec 18, 11:25 PMJun 2, 1:59 AM

15.21%chance

11713

OptionVotes

YES

413

111

Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?

Dec 18, 6:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

10483

OptionVotes

YES

142

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Mar 12, 6:40 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

19463

OptionProbability

Robots

Some As of Early 2024 Not Even Published Yet Architecture as Revolutionary as Transformers was in 2017

Synthetic Biology / Genetic Engineering: For example, developing new vaccines, engineering proteins for sustainable fabric production, developing cell-cultured meats, plant-based meat alternatives, and engineering human immune cells.

Quantum Computing

Generative AI video used as false evidence in criminal trial by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 15, 8:26 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

74.7%chance

15267

OptionVotes

YES

277

156

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Oct 19, 12:12 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

43.06%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

1150

870

Will it be shown Ronald C Kessler committed academic misconduct by 2040?

Apr 7, 1:15 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

35.7%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

Tesla announces formal Intel partnership for AI chip fab by June 30, 2026

Nov 24, 5:03 AMJun 29, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

120

The Fabricant News

Prediction markets for The Fabricant

Prediction markets for The Fabricant

Prediction markets for The Fabricant

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

Will a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2026?

Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Generative AI video used as false evidence in criminal trial by Dec 31, 2026?

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Will it be shown Ronald C Kessler committed academic misconduct by 2040?

Tesla announces formal Intel partnership for AI chip fab by June 30, 2026

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