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Prediction markets for The Hollywood Reporter

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Jun 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.32%chance

3532173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17781

14066

Will an AI-generated movie hit Netflix Top 10 in 2026?

May 18, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92488

OptionProbability

No AI-generated movie will hit the Top 10 in 2026

Yes, in Q4 2026

Yes, in Q2 2026

Yes, in Q3 2026

93

3

2

2

Avengers Doomsday to be delayed

Apr 6, 3:19 PMDec 30, 12:00 AM

98.32%chance

191932

OptionVotes

NO

YES

765

13

Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.1%chance

9385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

744

Will Callum Turner cheat on Dua Lipa?

Jun 21, 6:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.85%chance

8192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

51

Will Timothee Chalamet and Kylie Jenner announce their engagement before 2027?

May 15, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.25%chance

8159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will 50 Cent make another documentary about Diddy/Other celebrities?

Jan 10, 7:59 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

29.93%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

169

Which movie will be released first?

Jan 23, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:26 AM

5130

OptionProbability

Five Nights At Freddy's 3

Mamma Mia! 3

Top Gun 3

Zootopia 3

Other

56

17

14

7

7

Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027?

Aug 5, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.54%chance

7111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

17

Will there be an "Avengers: Secret Wars part 2" movie?

Jan 26, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.64%chance

575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed again?

Apr 27, 1:16 PMJun 18, 11:59 PM

375

OptionProbability

Yes, by more than 12 months

No, it will release on June 18, 2027

Yes, by less than two months

Yes, by 2-6 months

Yes, by 6-12 months

Yes, it will be removed from the release schedule entirely

41

34

34

34

34

17

When will a third Top Gun movie be released?

Oct 21, 6:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

468

OptionProbability

2031

2028

2029

2030

Other

2032

2033

23

14

14

14

14

12

8

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