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Prediction markets for The House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1741497065

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

63

36

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

184300929

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

93

7

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

63%chance

321236674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1306

767

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

54.14%chance

226114989

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

920

Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?

Nov 15, 1:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.47%chance

8067240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6280

159

How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?

Jul 10, 2:45 AMNov 3, 6:59 AM

7117300

OptionProbability

194+ (2016 result)

213+ (2022 result)

215+ (2024 result)

222+ (2020 result)

218+ (majority)

226+ seats

230+ seats

235+ (2018 result)

246+

257+ (2008 result)

267+ (1990 result)

99

98

97

94

94

79

64

59

20

3

2

Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?

Feb 11, 3:22 PMNov 4, 12:00 AM

62.21%chance

4915006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1283

779

Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?

May 7, 9:14 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

78.05%chance

366449

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1886

530

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Oct 26, 6:21 PMJan 20, 5:47 PM

535682

OptionProbability

No, less than half ballroom etc.

Yes, more than half ballroom etc

58

42

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

27.35%chance

101928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7447

5245

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10297

9614

Will anyone be impeached by the US House of Representatives in 2027?

Sep 16, 10:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.52%chance

11886

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2681

1691

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