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The House News

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

120673430

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

London Breed

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

55

26

15

2

1

1

1

1

0

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

147221821

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

88

12

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

36.73%chance

151117948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1313

762

Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?

Nov 15, 1:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4%chance

6245567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4901

204

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

31.23%chance

16333713

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1484

674

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

88%chance

4819590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2709

369

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

11.6%chance

2914084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2761

362

Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?

Jun 14, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14%chance

2811247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2478

403

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

60.05%chance

396679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

816

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Will Trump tear down the white house before the end of his 2nd term?

Oct 24, 9:51 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

4.2%chance

8567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

477

21

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.47%chance

12526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

32

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