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Prediction markets for The House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1541227767

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

67

32

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

180289593

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

82

18

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

47.21%chance

276203182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1058

946

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

53.98%chance

221113913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

923

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

80%chance

8765079

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2001

500

Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?

Nov 15, 1:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.81%chance

7563614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5024

199

Will Africa be a global power house in the nest few months

Mar 14, 4:20 PMJun 30, 2:01 PM

14.99%chance

4310504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2381

420

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Oct 26, 6:21 PMJan 20, 5:47 PM

535682

OptionProbability

No, less than half ballroom etc.

Yes, more than half ballroom etc

58

42

Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026?

Feb 27, 11:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.69%chance

113665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

669

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10297

9614

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.14%chance

13614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

49

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?

May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM

56.92%chance

6601

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

926

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