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Prediction markets for The House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

123741585

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Saikat Chakrabarti

Connie Chan

Christine Pelosi

London Breed

Other

Bruce Lou

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

60

22

14

1

1

1

0

0

0

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

156234949

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

88

12

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

48.57%chance

211146601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

972

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

40.06%chance

214111875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

818

Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?

Nov 15, 1:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.54%chance

6755253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4589

218

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

89.8%chance

6030958

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2968

337

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

9.48%chance

4119621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3091

324

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

63.64%chance

417749

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1323

756

How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?

Jul 10, 2:45 AMNov 3, 6:59 AM

393571

OptionProbability

194+ (2016 result)

213+ (2022 result)

215+ (2024 result)

218+ (majority)

222+ (2020 result)

235+ (2018 result)

246+

257+ (2008 result)

97

95

90

90

79

46

23

7

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Will Democrats win the Mar A Lago(Trump Residence) District- Florida State House District 87? Election this Tuesday!

Mar 23, 3:08 AMMar 24, 11:59 PM

18.77%chance

151300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

462

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.47%chance

12526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

32

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