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Prediction markets for The House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

110535589

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

London Breed

61

19

11

3

1

1

1

1

1

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

132196582

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

80

20

Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

Jan 22, 5:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.06%chance

2313941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14715

7254

Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?

Jun 14, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.03%chance

2811146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2378

421

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

19.42%chance

258609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2037

491

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

87.05%chance

377352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2593

386

Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?

Nov 15, 1:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.62%chance

367204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2901

345

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

54.47%chance

365119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

914

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?

Nov 24, 5:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.47%chance

391276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1260

857

Will Trump tear down the white house before the end of his 2nd term?

Oct 24, 9:51 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

4.2%chance

8567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

477

21

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.6%chance

12426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

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