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Prediction markets for The House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

131885414

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Saikat Chakrabarti

Connie Chan

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

London Breed

71

24

3

1

0

0

0

0

0

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

170258912

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

90

10

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

50%chance

245156543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

1001

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

44%chance

215112055

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

887

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

90.6%chance

7343399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3106

322

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

8.72%chance

5023475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3236

309

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

69.68%chance

448451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1517

660

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Oct 26, 6:21 PMJan 20, 5:47 PM

535682

OptionProbability

No, less than half ballroom etc.

Yes, more than half ballroom etc

58

42

Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026?

Feb 27, 11:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

92184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

698

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Will Trump tear down the white house before the end of his 2nd term?

Oct 24, 9:51 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

5.2%chance

8617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

427

23

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.55%chance

13528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

291

34

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