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Top stories

Sabrina Carpenter’s ‘Man’s Best Friend’ Debuts No. 1 on US iTunes

Sabrina Carpenter’s ‘Man’s Best Friend’ Debuts No. 1 on US iTunes

Authors

12

3 months ago

Prediction markets for The Independent

Will the Cape declare independence before 2030?

Sep 23, 1:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.51%chance

2931047

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2125

819

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.71%chance

373527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2659

684

Will the pre-clinical results on the cancer drug AOH1996 be broadly confirmed by independent team(s)?

Aug 3, 12:23 PMAug 3, 9:59 PM

25.67%chance

303447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

806

Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030

Jan 18, 12:13 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

17.66%chance

453031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

896

Will the next Scottish independence referendum pass?

Jan 18, 7:57 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

50%chance

382238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

853

Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.36%chance

221775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

907

Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?

Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM

53.46%chance

181320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1072

933

Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?

Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.37%chance

211178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

741

Will the Tadpole Experiment experiment be independently replicated in the next 10 years?

Jul 4, 10:42 PMJul 4, 10:40 PM

22.67%chance

41063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1847

541

Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?

Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.02%chance

18587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

734

Will a video on Youtube break the current record for most viewed independent animation pilot before Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 1, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63.31%chance

15163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

964

Will the USA pass a content filtering law covering 3D-printed or other independently manufactured guns?

Jan 22, 2:53 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

47.51%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

951

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