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Prediction markets for The Japan News

Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?

Jan 5, 4:17 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

132328

OptionProbability

Other

Iran

Cuba

Venezuela

Other Again

Mexico

Panama

Denmark

Iceland

North Korea

Colombia

Canada

100

72

61

58

55

53

50

39

34

27

23

4

Will a Nintendo Switch 2 budget model be released before 2029?

May 23, 12:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

80.15%chance

111587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1601

100

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21970

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

100

60

4

C-17 production line reopening announced by 2030?

Jul 4, 8:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.33%chance

10700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1591

629

Will China turn on Russia before 2030?

Jan 13, 4:38 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.38%chance

11478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

815

397

Will a G7 data authority fine a major AI agent provider over $100M for autonomous agent privacy violations

Feb 3, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Major semiconductor shipment from Taiwan to Tier-1 AI country fails delivery by end of 2026

Jan 16, 8:07 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

52.68%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

452

351

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