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Prediction markets for The Japan News

Obama arrested in 2025?

Jul 21, 2:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.01%chance

4047450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18697

1998

Will a Nintendo Switch 2 budget model be released before 2029?

May 23, 12:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

79.95%chance

101458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1997

501

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21970

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

100

60

4

C-17 production line reopening announced by 2030?

Jul 4, 8:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

10687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1604

624

Will Carlos Ghosn run a car company again by 2025

Mar 9, 8:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.56%chance

13483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

932

Will China turn on Russia before 2030?

Jan 13, 4:38 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

28.86%chance

10428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

64

Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

815

397

Will Macron mention Japan while he is in China?

Nov 29, 6:30 AMDec 11, 11:59 PM

37.7%chance

9141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

Major semiconductor shipment from Taiwan to Tier-1 AI country fails delivery by end of 2026

Jan 16, 8:07 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

52.68%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

452

351

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