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Prediction markets for The Japan News

Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?

Jan 5, 4:17 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

152759

OptionProbability

Iran

Other

Cuba

Other Again

Mexico

Venezuela

Panama

North Korea

Iceland

Colombia

Denmark

Canada

100

100

63

55

53

52

43

27

18

15

14

5

Will China invade Taiwan before 2027

Mar 21, 8:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.01%chance

352582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

364

27

Will a Nintendo Switch 2 budget model be released before 2029?

May 23, 12:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

75.39%chance

141634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1514

124

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21980

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

100

40

4

C-17 production line reopening announced by 2030?

Jul 4, 8:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.68%chance

12816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1372

729

Will China turn on Russia before 2030?

Jan 13, 4:38 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45.32%chance

15558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will a G7 data authority fine a major AI agent provider over $100M for autonomous agent privacy violations

Feb 3, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.44%chance

5415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

381

26

Major semiconductor shipment from Taiwan to Tier-1 AI country fails delivery by end of 2026

Jan 16, 8:07 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

30.1%chance

8386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

584

291

China vs Japan Conflict before 2027?

Apr 29, 10:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11368

OptionProbability

No, status quo persists

Yes, via naval or aerial skirmish

Yes, via economic or cyber warfare

Yes

No, diplomatic tensions remain below armed conflict

82

5

5

4

4

Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

815

397

Will at least 200 Tesla Cybercabs be registered for public robotaxi service by December 31, 2026?

Sep 15, 1:47 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

18.16%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

98

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