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Prediction markets for The Law Offices

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

42.09%chance

555181377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2731

1983

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

7.87%chance

1416797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14892

52

[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?

Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

20.52%chance

3412373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19679

5082

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

39.14%chance

9610404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

939

Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?

Oct 13, 7:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.41%chance

543493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

958

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Jun 26, 7:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.92%chance

683206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1696

903

Will a US president be removed from office early for any reason through 2036?

May 20, 9:03 PMJun 7, 6:59 AM

43.14%chance

411563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

839

Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

Dec 16, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

291044

OptionVotes

NO

YES

989

973

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.74%chance

13436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

977

Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?

Dec 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

65.24%chance

3390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

46.21%chance

5346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

927

New York State RAISE Act becomes law?

Jun 24, 3:01 AMJan 2, 4:01 AM

56.53%chance

5150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

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