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Prediction markets for The March Group

Will CMOC Group's annual cobalt production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

85%chance

1116600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

23801

4202

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

7.32%chance

10013504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3559

281

What power source will replace diesel for long-haul trucking by 2030?

Dec 26, 10:28 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

535106

OptionProbability

Diesel will still be dominant

Battery-electric vehicle

Synthetic natural gas / hydrocarbons / biofuels

Hydrogen fuel cell

Other

Fusion

Fossil-fuel natural gas

68

16

11

4

1

0

0

Will Zijin produce 2,000+ tonnes of tungsten in FY2029?

Mar 21, 12:10 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

55.64%chance

63874

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

893

Outcome of Operation Epic Fury (Iran 2026):

Mar 12, 3:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

191671

OptionProbability

Unyielding Islamic Regime

Deal with minimal concessions

Deal with major concessions

Military coup (Artesh)

Popular takeover

Balkanization/long civil war

Venezuela-style puppet state

Voluntary transition of power

35

28

26

4

3

2

2

1

When will Manifold repeat this Sam Altman CEO market mistake?

Mar 17, 5:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

101169

OptionProbability

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

Before H2 2024

Before 2025

88

85

82

73

69

42

0

0

If Discord rolls out global age verification requirements, will the age verification data be breached in 2026?

Feb 11, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.95%chance

10433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

55

Will Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?

Apr 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.94%chance

5401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

767

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

991

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Feb 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.24%chance

6118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

Will global primary rhenium production exceed 70 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 11:33 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will global primary rhenium production exceed 95 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 11:33 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

49.88%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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