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Prediction markets for The New York Times
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41239715
OptionProbability
37
26
19
18
🧑⚖️ Will The New York Times Win A Lawsuit Against OpenAI & Microsoft?
Dec 27, 2:03 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM
54.64%chance
6314902
OptionVotes
1050
859
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
78.74%chance
789163
OptionVotes
1378
972
Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Dec 27, 6:13 PMJun 1, 5:59 AM
57.92%chance
534383
OptionVotes
1044
928
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
42.3%chance
324036
OptionVotes
1103
824
Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?
Jul 27, 3:58 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
5.31%chance
463582
OptionVotes
2941
761
Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?
Dec 28, 2:40 PMMay 31, 7:00 AM
27.96%chance
653119
OptionVotes
1114
934
Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 10:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.03%chance
263041
OptionVotes
1731
861
Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM
22.88%chance
71550
OptionVotes
1836
545
Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?
Apr 8, 2:39 AMApr 8, 4:59 AM
4.69%chance
201080
OptionVotes
2032
916
Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?
Dec 2, 7:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.27%chance
8213
OptionVotes
257
112
Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
Dec 30, 5:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
16%chance
4122
OptionVotes
171
82