The Nuclear Company News

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

May 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.66%chance

414675

OptionVotes

YES

3003

1084

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Jul 1, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.37%chance

174255

OptionVotes

YES

12410

8058

🌖 What country will be the first to build a nuclear reactor on the Moon?

Aug 5, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:49 AM

162986

OptionProbability

None by 2035

China 🇨🇳

USA 🇺🇸

EU - French reactor

Other

EU - UK reactor

Russia 🇷🇺

Will Helion deliver 10 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2031?

May 14, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.47%chance

151430

OptionVotes

YES

1249

922

By 2034, will at least 1 major tech company lobby for nuclear power?

Mar 5, 2:48 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

94.01%chance

201137

OptionVotes

YES

1949

843

What will be true of the US-Ukraine minerals deal?

May 1, 12:21 AMJan 1, 1:06 AM

13644

OptionProbability

The deal is actually signed (still resolves YES even if modifications are made to the deal)

Proposed reconstruction and investment fund is initiated by the end of 2026 (it actually begins to fund reconstruction projects and receive investments/mineral profits)

American companies secure >33% of the monetary value of Ukrainian post-war reconstruction contracts

Either the US or Ukraine demand to renegotiate the deal by the end of Trump's second term

US company or government takes ownership and operation of Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant

Deal includes security guarantee (guarantee that the US will defend Ukrainian sovereignty for a certain period of time post-war)

100

will Niger directly sell nuclear material to France in 2026?

Feb 6, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.89%chance

6318

OptionVotes

YES

127

Will any data center in the United States be powered by a nuclear reactor by Nov 2028?

Nov 8, 3:50 PMNov 1, 4:59 PM

32.48%chance

7229

OptionVotes

YES

144

Is cold fusion/LENR possible?

May 19, 7:41 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

37.91%chance

4115

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will a nuclear reactor start operation before 2030 that transforms long-lived nuclear waste into shorter lived waste?

Aug 1, 8:25 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.46%chance

645

OptionVotes

YES

125

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.0 billion USD on April 1, 2027?

Mar 2, 6:14 PMApr 1, 6:14 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:54 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

30%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

The Nuclear Company News

Prediction markets for The Nuclear Company

Prediction markets for The Nuclear Company

Prediction markets for The Nuclear Company

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

🌖 What country will be the first to build a nuclear reactor on the Moon?

Will Helion deliver 10 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2031?

By 2034, will at least 1 major tech company lobby for nuclear power?

What will be true of the US-Ukraine minerals deal?

will Niger directly sell nuclear material to France in 2026?

Will any data center in the United States be powered by a nuclear reactor by Nov 2028?

Is cold fusion/LENR possible?

Will a nuclear reactor start operation before 2030 that transforms long-lived nuclear waste into shorter lived waste?

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.0 billion USD on April 1, 2027?

Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?

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