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Prediction markets for The Office Group

Who will be US President on January 1, 2029?

Dec 4, 10:18 AMJan 2, 10:59 PM

5015292

OptionProbability

Donald Trump

JD Vance

Other

Joe Biden

Kamala Harris

No one/office no longer exists

Nikki Haley

Ron DeSantis

A Democrat (do not pick, see description)

A Republican (do not pick, see description)

Tim Walz

80

18

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will an explicitly racist or sexist politician get elected to major office in America by the end of 2030?

Jun 19, 3:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

94.43%chance

354967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3900

193

Confrontation between ICE and Minnesota police

Jan 25, 2:23 AMApr 1, 1:16 AM

9.48%chance

214418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2382

749

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

5.48%chance

213816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4153

241

Will I get to "Feel the AGI" on the big screen before 2033?

Feb 14, 5:54 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.86%chance

312819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1174

338

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

18.12%chance

172277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

470

Was Epstein a Russian asset?

Feb 9, 11:39 PMJan 1, 11:35 PM

14.9%chance

232276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2390

418

Will Joe Biden be alive by 31 December 2026?

Feb 7, 11:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.54%chance

362094

OptionVotes

NO

YES

413

92

Will a LA governor by 2033 free all non-unanimous jury prisoners, including those reconvicted after retrial?

Jan 9, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

2220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

832

Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election?

Aug 26, 3:54 PMJul 4, 3:49 PM

74%chance

4154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

59

Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)

Feb 28, 9:06 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

3131

OptionProbability

Any Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress

Any Democrat Running for Elected Office

Any Self Described Socialist

Candace Owens

Ben Shapiro

Clavicular

Donald Trump

JD Vance

The Incumbent Prime Minister of Israel

The Incumbent President of Ukraine

66

50

50

50

34

34

24

24

20

16

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

33

33

33

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