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Top stories

Robinhood Adds Toncoin to U.S. Crypto Platform, Ahead of Coinbase

Robinhood Adds Toncoin to U.S. Crypto Platform, Ahead of Coinbase

Authors

14

5 months ago

Prediction markets for The Open Network

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

Oct 19, 6:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.2%chance

11636496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14299

6435

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.1%chance

7636038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

731

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

58.08%chance

9013035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1177

850

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.26%chance

2411233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11928

1118

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.78%chance

235162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

748

Will there be a publicly detrans elected official at the state or federal level in the US before 2029?

Jul 5, 2:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.78%chance

643864

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

978

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Nov 10, 4:57 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

24.24%chance

1013752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1843

1542

Will Rutracker be online in the Internet after 3 years?

Feb 18, 7:53 PMFeb 18, 10:59 PM

91.32%chance

352128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2431

737

Will Z-Library be online in the Internet after two years?

Feb 24, 8:31 PMFeb 24, 10:59 PM

95.61%chance

191860

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2676

815

Is 1,000 atoms ever sufficient for the experience of suffering, under any design or any circumstance? (Upgradable KBC, resolves in 2025)

Feb 6, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.07%chance

231034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1695

814

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

Will there be a publicly detrans elected official in the US before 2029?

Jul 5, 1:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.08%chance

16504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

883

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