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Prediction markets for The Pokémon Company International

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Jun 10, 7:37 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

71%chance

227113703

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1565

639

Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?

Jan 13, 7:06 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

15.68%chance

7147255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22945

4656

What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?

May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

8215250

OptionProbability

Covid

Russia-Ukraine War

Brexit

January 6th

Israel-Hamas War

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

LLMs

George Floyd Protests

The Rise of China

Private Spaceflight

Bitcoin

Violent repression of women in Iran

New York v Trump 2024

Tigray War

BRICS Expansion

Meme stocks

Enshittification

97

94

88

86

82

82

77

75

63

61

61

57

54

51

40

21

13

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

42%chance

372766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

796

Most modern companies prefer AI for code reviews 3 months after gpt5 is released?

Jan 15, 8:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.56%chance

292221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

971

Will a neurotech company face a lawsuit over unauthorized brain data collection in 2025?

Mar 8, 11:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.58%chance

91361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2243

446

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Jun 14, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.42%chance

351342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

928

Will a major tech company (Apple, Google, Microsoft, or Meta) acquire a neurotech startup in 2025?

Mar 8, 11:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.99%chance

15845

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

905

Will Jeff Bezos sell/close the Washington Post by 2030?

Jan 1, 1:43 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

38.94%chance

17652

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

822

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2029?

Jun 13, 11:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.79%chance

14430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

969

Will Holtec submit a construction permit application to the NRC for an SMR-300 before 2026?

Jul 2, 10:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.76%chance

2290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

812

Please make me some suggestions on the best companies to do an internship at.

Nov 24, 8:42 PM

00

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