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Top stories

Oval Invincibles Score 226/4 Record Total as Southern Brave Win Sixth Straight and Trent Rockets Beat Invincibles

Oval Invincibles Score 226/4 Record Total as Southern Brave Win Sixth Straight and Trent Rockets Beat Invincibles

Authors

3

13 days ago

Prediction markets for the Rockets

Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?

Jun 21, 12:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2%chance

235075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

719

15

Will the new Tesla Roadster have rockets providing propulsion (not extra grip) for additional acceleration?

Apr 1, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.43%chance

182877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2690

458

Will any LLM correctly answer the question "why doesn't the rocket equation apply to airplanes?" before 2026?

Jan 4, 6:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

91.91%chance

232645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2942

617

Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?

Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.13%chance

412172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1977

397

Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 7:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

25.49%chance

202042

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

928

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.31%chance

371949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

946

Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 2:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.02%chance

231312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1998

618

Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?

Aug 6, 10:52 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

78.09%chance

18724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

893

Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?

May 10, 11:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.45%chance

15674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

951

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

58.74%chance

17661

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

904

Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?

Jul 30, 4:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.86%chance

21627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1112

718

Will SpaceX come up with new ways to send stuff into space that do not involve rockets by the end of 2030?

Aug 6, 6:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.65%chance

11283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

947

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