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Prediction markets for the Rolling Stones

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

20.69%chance

9718155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1838

604

Will xAI release Grok 5 before May 1st 2026?

Feb 12, 1:41 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

23%chance

264742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1907

364

Will Keith Richards outlive Mick Jagger?

Oct 11, 5:34 PMNov 11, 7:59 AM

34.31%chance

18393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

916

Will musicians and bands unionize before 2030?

Oct 14, 4:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.68%chance

10189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

188

New Rolling Stones pinball machine before 2031?

Nov 28, 8:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.33%chance

437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

Rolling Stones - Who will die next? Keith, Mick or Ronnie

Jan 1, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:18 PM

230

OptionProbability

Keith

Mick

Ronnie

59

20

20

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